Split Ticket

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@SplitTicket_

Political analysis at your fingertips. By @lxeagle17, @hwlavellemaps, @Thorongil16, @politicsmaps, @maxtmcc | 🎤 ✉️ info@splitticket.org

split-ticket.org Joined November 2021

163 Following 27K Followers 1.4K Posts

Latest posts 5

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Split Ticket @SplitTicket_ Jun 19

Our 2026 midterms model is out and will be hosted at @TheArgumentMag.

Projections as of 6/19:

House: 🟦 85% (229D-206R)
Senate: 🟥 57% (50R-50D)
theargumentmag.com/p/split-ticket…

www.theargumentmag.com 2026 Midterms Model Senate The race for control of the Senate is competitive, but clearly tilting blue; Democrats are favored to seize control of the chamber with a forecasted pickup of six seats, despite the historic...

Split Ticket @SplitTicket_ Nov 4

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Split Ticket @SplitTicket_ May 14

A tale of two blue waves: 2008 vs 2018.

Split Ticket @SplitTicket_ Oct 20, 2025

As we've previously written, candidate quality and national environment can have substantial impacts on any given candidate's performance.
This year, with two states bidding farewell to incumbents, it's time to consider how incumbent party fatigue can help the "out" party.

Split Ticket @SplitTicket_ Aug 18, 2025

Some news: Split Ticket is joining The Argument.