Nonzee

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@0xNonceSense

Macro & Crypto | On-chain research | Only alpha

My alpha channel → t.me/+SYPELYHSTeliY… Joined September 2021

387 Following 111K Followers 16K Posts

Latest posts 5

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Nonzee @0xNonceSense 12h

🚨 THIS $NVIDIA DUMP WAS ENGINEERED

$1.7 trillion erased in five weeks.

Down 31% from $243.37.

Retail thinks the news did that. The news didn't do that.

The news was the match.

Leverage was the building.

Margin debt hit a record $1.50 trillion in June and has been unwinding ever since.

Every desk on the street knew exactly where those positions sat.

All they needed was a headline ugly enough to justify the flush.

They got one, and it was perfect: an investigation, a subpoena threat, a class action.

Three stories that take months to resolve and nothing a retail trader can price.

So the stops came out.

Price swept the lows at $164.27 and parked at $176.

Now ask the only question that matters.

Who was buying while 1.7 trillion dollars of panic hit the tape?

Nobody dumps a position this size into the open.

You distribute into strength and you accumulate into fear, and fear is what the last five weeks manufactured.

Here's the part that doesn't change.

A subpoena is a hearing. An investigation is a disclosure.

Nobody in Washington wants to be the person who handed the AI race to China. Congress can threaten whatever it likes.

The chips still ship.

My zone is $160 to $180. That's where I'm buying.

Earnings land November 17 and I'm sizing for more pain first.

Target $260.

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0:18

Nonzee @0xNonceSense 2d

🚨 BTC JUST BROKE THE LEVEL I WARNED ABOUT

Every level on this chart was posted before the drop.

Here's where we are now:

→ $76,000-74,500 support: broken
→ $74,000-72,500 (2 hikes in total): $BTC at $73,000
→ $72,000-70,000 (3+ hikes): next

The trend is still down.

Two rejections at $86,500, a lower high at $84,000, and every bounce weaker than the last.

And the Fed keeps pushing.

Everyone expected cuts in 2026.

It kept hiking instead.

Now the only question is:

Will the market price in a third hike?

If it does, we go to $70,000.

That's where I expect the final bottom.

I'll wait until rate expectations calm down.

When I enter, you'll see it here first.

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0:31

Nonzee Verified account @0xNonceSense 5d

🚨 EVERYTHING IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I WARNED.

Bitcoin is now at $76,000, testing the next support at $76,000-74,500.

The trend hasn't changed:
→ Two rejections at $86,500
→ Lower high at $84,000
→ Every bounce weaker than the last

And the Fed still isn't done.

Markets priced two cuts for 2026.

We got hikes instead. And more are on the table.

If $74,500 goes:

- Two hikes in total: $74,000-72,500
- Three or more: $72,000-70,000

One extra hike is the difference between $74,000 and $70,000.

I'm waiting for rate expectations to stabilize.

My entry will be posted here first.

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Nonzee @0xNonceSense 3d

🚨 SILVER DID EXACTLY WHAT I WARNED ABOUT.

Three rallies. Three lower highs. Three bull traps.

Now silver is sitting right on my first buy zone: $50–55.

That's where it should bottom if the Fed stops at two hikes.

But this bounce from $50 is bull trap #4.

The Fed will hike again. And we're going lower.

With 3+ hikes, $50 won't hold.

Next stop: $40–45. My second buy zone.

MY ROADMAP:

2 hikes:
- Bounce toward $60–63. Bull trap #4
- Back into $50–55. Base building
- Then the move everyone waits for: $90

3+ hikes:
- $50 breaks
- Flush into $40–45. The real bottom
- Recovery toward $70

Most will buy bull trap #4 thinking the bottom is in.

My entry will be posted here first.

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0:27

Nonzee Verified account @0xNonceSense Oct 28

🚨 EVERYTHING IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I WARNED.

$70 rejected.

Three rallies. Three lower highs. Three bull traps.

$118 → $89 → $70.

My long-term buy zone is $45–55.

That’s where silver should bottom if the Fed stops at two hikes.

Price has already tested it twice. July. Now.

The third touch is not far away.

But the Fed will skip the next hike.

That buys bulls one more bounce.

MY ROADMAP:

- Bounce from $54 toward $63–65
- Another lower high. Bull trap #4
- Third touch of $45–55. The real bottom
- Then the move everyone waits for: $100

Most will buy bull trap #4 thinking the bottom is in.

My entry will be posted here first.

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Nonzee @0xNonceSense 4d

🚨 SOMETHING UNUSUAL IS HAPPENING

$2.5 TRILLION gone in one session:

→ S&P 500: −4.36%, worst day since the April 2025 tariff crash
→ Nasdaq: −5.52%, officially in correction
→ Chip stocks: −12.2%, 2nd-worst day on record
→ VIX: +70%

The trigger? Midterm results.

Investors started dumping everything tied to the AI data-center buildout.

Here's the part most people miss.

The S&P 500 is weighted by size.

The bigger the company, the bigger its slice.

So every dollar that lands in a passive index fund goes mostly to the giants that already run the market.

And when the giants fall, they drag everyone with them.

Look at last week:

→ Equal-weight S&P 500: −1.1%
→ Regular S&P 500: −2.7%
→ Magnificent 7: −$1 TRILLION in a single day
→ Nvidia: −9.3% on Thursday, the heaviest weight in the whole index

The average stock barely moved. A handful of AI giants did the damage.

It doesn't take 500 stocks to break this market.

Like I said: IT TAKES TEN.

And the selling wasn't even human:

→ Trend-following funds dumped $11 BILLION of S&P futures in 90 minutes
→ Leveraged ETFs were forced to sell $60 BILLION+
→ Barclays estimated volatility-control funds could dump ~$135 BILLION more

JPMorgan, Citadel Securities and UBS all called the election a clearing event for a year-end rally.

They got caught on the wrong side.

Now look at the chart.

1999: dot-com top.
2007: housing top.
2026: AI selloff.

A chart from 1875 marked all three as "the time to sell."

Is this the crash? Not yet.

The S&P 500 is only ~6% below its October 6 record. That's a correction.

But chip stocks are already down 36% from their June high.

As deep as the Covid crash.

The ten are cracking first.

4 losing weeks in a row. Nvidia earnings are next.

A 5th red week plus weak Nvidia numbers, and this stops being a correction.

That's the risk no one was pricing in.

I've been trading these markets for years.

When I get out completely, I'll announce it right here.

If you're not following yet, you'll wish you had.

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0:14

Nonzee Verified account @0xNonceSense Oct 21

🚨 SOMETHING VERY STRANGE IS HAPPENING

The S&P 500 is stuck in a range near all-time highs.

Now look under the hood:

→ US stock market: $81.6 TRILLION
→ US GDP: $32.6 TRILLION

Wall Street is worth 2.5X the economy it's built on.

So ask yourself:

HOW CAN STOCKS KEEP GETTING RICHER WHILE THE PEOPLE BEHIND THEM GET POORER?

Here's the part most people miss.

The S&P 500 is weighted by size.

The bigger the company, the bigger its slice.

So every dollar that lands in a passive index fund goes mostly to the giants that already run the market.

THE BIGGEST STOCKS GET THE MOST NEW MONEY. EVERY SINGLE MONTH.

Meanwhile, on Main Street:

→ Credit card debt: a record $1.18 TRILLION
→ Serious delinquencies: 10.9%, highest in 13 years
→ Subprime auto defaults: 7.8%, worse than 2008
→ Savings rate: down to 3.4%
→ Banks: $510 BILLION+ in unrealized losses
→ Continuing jobless claims: still rising
→ Full-time jobs: quietly turning into gig work

And the index? Still hovering near record highs.

Now do the math:

→ Top 10 companies: ~$30 TRILLION
→ A 10% pullback in just those 10: ~$3 TRILLION gone
→ That's close to 9% of the entire US economy

The other 490 stocks don't have to move at all.

Let that sink in.

It doesn't take 500 stocks to break this market.

IT TAKES TEN.

That's the risk no one is pricing in.

I've been trading these markets for years.

When I get out completely, I'll announce it right here.

Turn notifications on.

If you're not following yet, you'll wish you had.

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Nonzee @0xNonceSense 5d

🚨 EVERYTHING IS PLAYING OUT EXACTLY AS I WARNED.

Bitcoin is now at $76,000, testing the next support at $76,000-74,500.

The trend hasn't changed:
→ Two rejections at $86,500
→ Lower high at $84,000
→ Every bounce weaker than the last

And the Fed still isn't done.

Markets priced two cuts for 2026.

We got hikes instead. And more are on the table.

If $74,500 goes:

- Two hikes in total: $74,000-72,500
- Three or more: $72,000-70,000

One extra hike is the difference between $74,000 and $70,000.

I'm waiting for rate expectations to stabilize.

My entry will be posted here first.

Follow and turn notifications on.

0:26

Nonzee Verified account @0xNonceSense Oct 13

🚨 BITCOIN GOT REJECTED TWICE AND THE LOWER HIGH IS IN

Two failed pushes at $86,500.
Then a lower high at $84,000.

Every recovery has failed below the previous one.

The rate outlook is why I'm still watching lower.

Markets entered 2026 expecting two cuts.
The Fed has already hiked, and more increases are still in play.

The question now is how far this tightening goes.

First stop: $80,000-78,000 support.

My roadmap if it breaks:

- Two hikes in total: $76,000-74,000 is my first bottoming zone
- Three or more: the downside extends to $72,000-70,000

That is a $4,000 gap between the two setups.

Everyone has a target. Neither tells me where buyers will actually hold the line.

I'm watching for rate expectations to stabilize.

My entry will be posted here first.

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