Andrew Kerr
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Extremely hilarious.
Dan Osborn doesn't have an authentic bone in his body. Good chance he would have won if he ran as the Democrat he is.
Dan Osborn doesn't have an authentic bone in his body. Good chance he would have won if he ran as the Democrat he is.
It's pretty hilarious that Dan Osborn should have just run as a Democrat instead of pretending he's an IndependentView quoted post on X
protip: Don't post about your niche biographical details on your anonymous shitposting account
Exclusive: A congressional staffer who has worked with four representatives, including Rep. Mike Collins (R-Georgia), appears tied to an anonymous social media account that denigrates female politicians and promotes political violence, among other views. wapo.st/3V1aaGbView quoted post on X
If the polls are off AGAIN this year then, idk, we need a total industry reset
“After more than 85,000 phone calls and nearly 50,000 text messages, a potential problem emerged.
Democrats were far more enthusiastic about taking the poll than Republicans were.”
washingtonpost.com/politics/2026/…View quoted post on X
Big problem with this line -- the vast, vast majority of Kalshi trades are sports, "exotics" (aka Parlays), and 15-minute crypto markets.
Politics and current events, hardly a drop in the bucket.
Note the retail losses column. You WILL lose your money if you play on Kalshi
Politics and current events, hardly a drop in the bucket.
Note the retail losses column. You WILL lose your money if you play on Kalshi
FWIW, I – like scholars ranging from Philip Tetlock to Kenneth Arrow to Daniel Kahneman – believe that there are positive externalities to prediction markets (more widely available accurate information, the ability to hedge against future events, e.g.), and that they work differently than actual betting markets. That doesn’t mean people can’t and don’t abuse them. But people do the same with day trading, and that doesn’t mean the stock market is the same thing as DraftKings.View quoted post on X
