Asaf

Taker-side intra-candle spread. One-second frequency. 8 venues. 89 days.

We built a cross-venue dataset on execution quality for digital assets that doesn't exist anywhere else. Here's what the market structure looks like. 🧵

Yesterday at Consensus, I walked through real cases of market abuse in onchain prediction markets. From insider trading on the US-Iran-Strikes event contract to wash trading on the US Election market. Full room and great questions from the crowd.

The one that kept coming up: why would anyone wash trade the US election market? You can't change who wins.

Here's what I walked through on stage.

$253M. One market. 27 days. That's how much wash trading we flagged in Polymarket's 2024 US Election market.

During Solidus' offsite, we created our own version of a prediction market on company KPIs - from product launches to revenue targets - needless to say, we're the biggest fans.

With that, we're also recognizing that Pred Mar expands the attack surface of bad actors. Let's fix it.

soliduslabs.com/reports/polyma…

As scrutiny of the crypto industry is at an all-time high in the United States, and as Solidus recently marked its fifth anniversary, I wanted to share why we’re here and how our belief that crypto holds generational significance and opportunity drives everything we do.