Atlanta Fed

November 10: We’ve updated our Taylor Rule Utility data by incorporating #BLSdata in addition to updated nowcasts from the @ClevelandFed and Atlanta Fed: atlfed.org/4BTJc3X.

While there is a broad-based slowing among some the near-term measures of underlying CPI inflation, all the year-over-year measures on the dashboard are still elevated relative to the FOMC's price stability mandate. atlfed.org/4zDnsHR

The Atlanta Fed's sticky-price consumer price index (CPI)—a weighted basket of items that change price relatively slowly—rose 4.7% (on an annualized basis) in October, following a 3.4% increase in September. On a year-over-year basis, the series is up 3.1%.

On a core basis (excluding food and energy), the sticky-price index rose 4.7% (annualized) in October, and its 12-month percent change was 3.1%.

The flexible cut of the CPI—a weighted basket of items that change price relatively frequently—Increased 3.0% (annualized) in October and on a year-over-year basis, the series is up 6.2%.

atlfed.org/4BW48aw

November 9: We've updated our Market Probability Tracker following @BLS_gov's release of October's #employment report. View the Atlanta Fed update online now: atlfed.org/4iOsJp1 #ATLFedResearch

On November 9, the #GDPNow model nowcast of real GDP growth in Q4 2026 is 3.5%: bit.ly/32EYojR. #ATLFedResearch
Download our EconomyNow app or go to our website for the latest GDPNow nowcast: atlfed.org/46BOWkD.