Twitxy Saved

Eric Brewer

Verified account This account is verified. Learn more

@BrewerEricM

Deputy VP @NTI_WMD. Previously NSC Director for Counterproliferation, Deputy National Intelligence Officer for WMD. Personal account/views my own.
Washington, DC nti.org/about/people/e… Joined June 2016
1.3K Following 9.1K Followers 8.4K Posts

Latest posts 5

Eric Brewer Verified account @BrewerEricM
Whatever one’s views of the JCPOA, it could not be construed as “ignore the Iran thing, leave it for the next guy.” If we had remained in the deal, we’d be figuring out how to extend the most intrusive inspections ever rather than trying to get inspectors back into Iran. We’d be trying to lock in 3.67% enrichment for additional years instead of worrying where Iran’s stockpile of 60% (enough for multiple weapons) is located. Trump didn’t “ignore the Iran thing,” but he has created a mess that will almost certainly be inherited by his successor.
Eyal Yakoby Verified account @EYakoby 1d
Secretary Rubio last night:

“It would have been very easy to is ignore the Iran thing, leave it for the next guy.”

“We cannot live in a world in which the most radical terroristic regime on the planet possesses a weapon of mass destruction.”
View quoted post on X
9 replies 9 reposts 33 likes 7.2K views View on X
Eric Brewer Verified account @BrewerEricM
It bears repeating that Operation Epic Fury was not about Iran’s nuclear program. That program was significantly set back in the June 2025 strikes. The remaining facilities are too deeply buried to be eliminated militarily. If you want evidence, just look at the target set of OEF—of the over 13k strikes, maybe 5 were against nuclear sites, most of which were already struck in 2025 (and it’s unclear whether it was Israel or the U.S. who hit them in 2026).

Don’t be gaslit into believing that the recent war was necessary to deny Iran the bomb.
Robbie Gramer @RobbieGramer 4d
Trump tells reporters he had no choice but to launch the Iran war despite midterm loss

"I think it's largely true ...But at the same time if I had to do it again, I'd have to do it again, because long term it's the only answer. You can't allow Iran have a nuclear weapon."
View quoted post on X
11 replies 29 reposts 167 likes 22K views View on X
Eric Brewer Verified account @BrewerEricM
A datapoint that cuts against the “it wasn’t the war, it was the ceasefire” narrative:

“One slide linked Republicans’ polling numbers to an Iran war timeline.
It showed how the Democratic advantage had ballooned during active hostilities, shrunk during talks over a “memorandum of understanding” and then spiked again when the cease-fire collapsed.”
Maggie Haberman Verified account @maggieNYT 4d
"‘I Have Seen the Enemy, and It Is Us’: Inside Team Trump’s Historic Collapse." @ShaneGoldmacher @jonathanvswan me nytimes.com/2026/11/04/us/…
View quoted post on X
Eric Brewer Verified account @BrewerEricM
This is like saying you need to lose weight immediately but under no circumstances will you eat healthy or exercise.

“…the Iran war has dragged on too long. It should have been brief, decisive, and over. It needs to end, and we should never, under any circumstances, give the Ayatollah billions of dollars.”
Ted Cruz Verified account @tedcruz 4d
History was made last night.

For months, we were saying that 2026 was the most consequential midterm election of our lifetimes.

Unfortunately, we were right. Sometimes history is to be celebrated; other times, it is to be mourned. Always, it must be reckoned with.

2026 was not simply a blue wave; it was a blue tsunami. It was an ass kicking. It was not simply a bad 2006 midterm election. It was a Watergate-level repudiation. What happened, and why? What are the consequences, and where on earth do we go from here?

When all the votes were counted, the problem wasn’t turnout. Instead, our voters, Republicans, Libertarians, Independents, showed up and voted, and rejected our candidates, voting Democrat instead. We’ve lost the House. We’ve lost the Senate. When all is said and done, we will have lost eight to 10 Senate seats.

We lost in historically red states, like South Carolina and North Carolina, Kansas and Iowa. We lost in purple states, like Michigan, and New Hampshire, and Georgia. And we just barely won by just a single point in bright red states like Florida and Louisiana, and then there’s Texas.

Nowhere are the consequences of this election greater than Texas. In the Lone Star State, we lost every single statewide election. For weeks, I had been publicly warning on this podcast that we were in very real danger of losing everything in Texas. Far too few believed that was possible. I am very, very sorry that it came to pass. Texas has not had a Democrat governor since 1994. We haven’t had a Democrat senator since 1993. Now we’ll have both.

Why were the results so overwhelming? Pundits and analysts will break down the results for weeks or months or even years to come, but several things are already evident today.

Years ago, the very best political advice I ever got was from Heidi. She said, “It’s not about you. It’s about them. It’s about their kids, their families, their hopes, their dreams, their futures.” Too many politicians forget that.

Take the state of Kansas, for example, a state that has not elected a Democrat senator since 1932. It just did. Here’s what exit polling showed were the top issues in Kansas.

Number one, cost of living, energy, and groceries. That was listed as number one by 30.6 percent of voters.
Corruption. Number two, 18.5%.
The cost of the Iran war, 10.1%.
The candidates are terrible, 7.9%.
The Canada trade war, 7.6%.
The GOP didn’t do enough to support Trump, 6.6%.
Republicans didn’t pass the Save America Act, 5.6%.
Trump’s focus on monuments, 5.5%, and data centers and AI, 3.8%.

The top issue, cost of living, is very real. Too many in politics dismissed it. They didn’t understand. They pointed to the macro numbers showing the stock markets soaring, median income at record highs, and poverty at record lows. Those data are true, but they don’t tell all of the story.

Here are some stats that are a lot more real and personal. Spam, Hormel’s processed meat substitute, broke record sales, selling 113 million cans last year. That is nearly as much spam as was sold during the entirety of World War II. 29 percent of Americans have used buy now, pay later for groceries this year. That’s double the share just two years ago.

In August, banks repossessed 42% more homes than they did last year. In 2024, car repossessions topped 2.3 million, above the 2009 peak in the middle of the Great Financial Crisis. In 2025, 6% of 401k holders took hardship withdrawals, paying penalties. That is a record, and triple the norm.

And here’s one that’s really stunning. Americans made more than 75 million paid plasma donations in 2026. That’s another record. That means 200,000 Americans every single day, with a needle in their arm, just to pay for groceries.

That is very real pain from real Americans, and too many Republican politicians seem like they didn’t understand or they didn’t care. Food is too high, gas is too high, diesel is too high, insurance is too high, life is too high.

Tariffs have made everything too expensive, and the Iran war has dragged on too long. It should have been brief, decisive, and over. It needs to end, and we should never, under any circumstances, give the Ayatollah billions of dollars.

There’s a very real economic disconnect. Our K-shaped economy is a yawning divide. Last year, we saw the world’s very first trillionaire, a modern-day Thomas Edison, at the very same time that millions were struggling to feed their families. Data centers being constructed were turning billionaires into centibillionaires, while simultaneously the average American’s electricity bill went up 30% in the last five years.

Understandably, people were pissed off, and elected Republicans didn’t do enough to address their very real pain.

So, what do we do now? We need to listen and respond. We need to champion economic policies that make a real difference in working people’s lives, and we need to deal with the consequences.

Texas is blue. That is a hard sentence to utter. But Texas, today at least, is blue. As we sit here today, I am the only statewide elected Republican who remains in Texas. That’s not something I ever thought I would say.

We can be certain that the Democrats in Austin and in Washington will overshoot. In Texas, they will try to raise taxes dramatically. They may even try to adopt a state income tax, or even a California wealth tax. They will try to shut down the energy industry, destroying jobs across our state. They will embrace the radical transgender agenda. They will persecute those they perceive to be enemies, especially Elon Musk.

And in Washington, they will attack Trump every single day, constantly. Impeachment hearings, subpoenas, his family, cabinet members, business leaders, open persecution, and nonstop retaliation. Make no mistake. Nationally, the radicals are in charge. The communists and the Islamists who have taken over the Democrat Party have now taken over the United States Congress. They will be unleashed.

Sadly, that means many Americans will be hurt. Texans will be hurt. Their assault on business will make Texas a much less attractive place to start or grow a small business. Texas will become more like California if they succeed in halting all new investment into AI.

The economic results will be dramatic. Over $700 billion in new projects are scheduled to start in the next year. If the Democrats shut them all down, our country will very likely go into a recession. That will suit the Democrats just fine. They’ll just blame it all on Donald Trump.

In the next two years, we need to do two things.

One, fight the madness. I will work with Democrats when they’re willing to be reasonable. Last night, I called James Talarico. I congratulated him on his very impressive victory. It was a pleasant conversation, and I told him that I looked forward to working with him to try to benefit Texas.

So, if there are things like flood relief for the Hill Country, or trying to get the space academy to Texas, he and I will work together. But if the newly elected radicals push policies that hurt Texas, raising taxes, destroying jobs, opening the border, releasing violent criminals, threatening our children, undermining our constitutional rights, I will fight with all of my strength to defend Texas and to defend the Constitution.

And number two, we need to rebuild, getting behind policies that directly benefit the constituents we lost.

There’s a complicated story, no doubt, of what happened on Election Day, but as I see it, the key constituencies we lost were blue-collar voters, what had rightly become the core base of our party, Evangelical Christians, who didn’t show up with the same numbers and fervor as prior elections, farmers and ranchers. Tragically, we alienated rural America. Young people, who excitedly had voted Republican in 2024, and who shifted hard blue this cycle. And of course, Hispanics.

For Hispanics, there’s a strong overlap with young people and blue-collar workers. In 2024, just two years ago, I was proud to carry Hispanics statewide in Texas by six points, and we swung the Rio Grande Valley red for the first time in a century. It can be done, but in this election, those Hispanic voters overwhelmingly went back Democrat. We have got to turn that around.

And for young people, we need to be the party of the future. We need to champion policies that expand their future. Our two single biggest legislative accomplishments of the past two years, Trump Accounts and the school choice tax credit, which will unleash tens of billions of dollars in new scholarships for kids, are generationally powerful. I was proud to author both of those transformational policies, and yet too few candidates all across the country ran on that record.

Too few voters were even aware of what we’d accomplished for their kids and their future. But we need to build. We need to expand to continue creating a new investor class for hundreds of millions of Americans, help everyone, every American, become an owner, to have real skin in the game, to create new generations of capitalists ready to reject socialism.

People voted as they did because they were angry. Ironically, the Democrats that they elected are going to advance policies that will make affordability worse. The Democrats want gas prices higher. They want to ban gasoline engines altogether. Their extreme environmental mandates will drive up food prices and the prices of everything else.

But hear me now: we will bring Texas back. I am filled with hope and optimism. Texas will be red again. We have not suddenly become a bunch of tofu-eating, gun-banning, tutu-wearing pinko commie liberals. That ain’t us. Texas is still Texas.

We will rebuild as a true blue-collar party, not by embracing socialism, but by being real free-market conservatives. The way we built the Texas economic miracle in the first place, and we will build and rebuild America as well.

When the zealots overreach, and they will, we will stand ready to lead in the direction of freedom, of prosperity, of safety, and security, and common sense. We will return to a new dawn of freedom in America.

It is dark right now, but it is always darkest before the dawn, and morning is coming. That is my fervent prayer, and that is my commitment to you.
View quoted post on X
0 replies 3 reposts 10 likes 1.1K views View on X
Eric Brewer Verified account @BrewerEricM
Despite the major Republican losses, the role the Iran war played in those losses, and a recognition of that fact by many Republicans (including Trump and Vance), I'm skeptical that the end of the war is just around the corner.

One reason is that Trump, while acknowledging the war contributed to the Republican electoral defeat, seems to still think it was one among several factors, and that the war was (and is?) the right choice. That suggests he's not looking for a quick exit.

Another reason is more fundamental: Ending wars is hard. Especially when there's no clear winner and loser. In some ways, the past ~6 months has been a failed attempt by the United States (and to a lesser extent, Iran) to search for an end to the war. That's not to say the U.S. strategy for doing so has been sound, but it's long been clear that Trump would prefer to end it--an inclination vindicated by the election results.

But doing so on any expedited timeline would probably require the United States to make painful compromises on key issues, such as opposing Iranian management of the Strait, wanting to deal with the nuclear issue sooner rather than later, and the sequencing of sanctions relief. Is Trump now willing to make those compromises? Iran also has little incentive to make this any easier on the United States now.

It's still early days, but I don't yet see evidence that the electoral sea change will lead to a near-term sea change in U.S. policy.