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Casey Handmer

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@CJHandmer

Physicist, Immigrant, Pilot, Dad.
Former Caltech, Hyperloop, NASA JPL.
Once considered pretty smart for an organic.
Founder @terraformindies. Hiring!
NASAdena caseyhandmer.com Joined June 2012
5.1K Following 70K Followers 43K Posts

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Casey Handmer Verified account @CJHandmer
There is another strategy available to Anthropic to manage rentier risk.
Rohan Paul Verified account @rohanpaul_ai 20h
Chamath says that if data center supply tightens, SpaceX could end its compute deal with Anthropic on 90 days notice and bring it back at 2x to 3x the price, and Anthropic would have to take it.

"So, whatever revenue you see on SpaceX's balance sheet from Ant could two to 3x and ANT would have no choice except to immediately capitulate and take the higher price. It would also show all of the other hyperscalers that they are very far away from having economic yield that is optimized. And so then it forces them to consider should I be giving it to myself?

Should I be selling it to the other people? It then forces the Neoclouds to take all of this money that they've raised, whether it's debt or equity, and say, "I have two choices, which is to buy as much compute today as I can at whatever price it's available because the other path is assured destruction and bankruptcy for me because I am just out of the game."

And so, what do they do? They will take the last gasp and do whatever they have.

So all the game theory comes down to this one deal and whether Elon decides to rip it because if he rips it, watch out.

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Full video on "All-In Podcast" YouTube channel, (link in comment)
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Casey Handmer Verified account @CJHandmer
People think NetZero means luxury communism and printing a trillion dollars a year to sequester CO2.

It refers to the size of the global economy necessary to solve the climate problem the dumb way. And the returns of the governments and funds that try it.

The only way out is through. Reflect sunlight, enhance weathering, expand solar supply.
Marty Odlin Verified account @martyodlin 4d
the path to a stable climate does not run through NetZero.
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