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Caspar Oesterheld

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@C_Oesterheld

Researcher at @Redwood_AI Previously PhD @FOCAL_lab @CarnegieMellon with @conitzer.
Berkeley andrew.cmu.edu/user/coesterh/ Joined September 2022
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Latest posts 5

Caspar Oesterheld Verified account @C_Oesterheld
Happy our leaderboard is live!! Grok 4.6 results in a few hours I'm told. :-P
Emery Cooper Verified account @emwcooper Aug 12
We want AIs to be able to help with work to reduce AI risk. But while models do great in domains where reliable feedback is relatively cheap and abundant, like Math and coding, a lot of work on AI risk isn't like that. Instead, we have to rely on good argumentation to answer questions like "does this experiment tell us anything about future models that are much smarter than humans?"

Unfortunately, this kind of work seems much harder to measure (and hence automate). Our team at @redwood_ai developed the Conceptual Reasoning Index (CRI) in collaboration with @AnthropicAI to fix this.

Every single data point in the CRI has been manually checked by a researcher on our team to ensure quality.

This chart shows the performance of each tested company's highest-scoring model plus Fable 5, Muse Spark 1.2, and Gemini Flash 3.6 which are often their company's frontrunners on other capability benchmarks. A score of 0 corresponds to randomising guessing on all three benchmarks and a score of 100 is the highest possible score on all. We estimate 91 to be the true performance ceiling. More info below.

Official leaderboard website which we'll keep up-to-date: conceptualreasoning.ai
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Caspar Oesterheld Verified account @C_Oesterheld
Some new models came out recently (Claude 3, Mistral Large) and I happen to have a work-in-progress, unpublished (=>absent from training data) multiple-choice problem set. Tentative results below. Take with a big grain of salt! More details on the benchmark soon.
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Caspar Oesterheld Verified account @C_Oesterheld
Better late than never: I'm proud to serve as a mentor for SERI MATS this winter. If you're interested in working with me on multi-agent safety, please apply to my stream! The deadline is tonight (Pacific time)!
MATS Research Verified account @MATSprogram Nov 10, 2023
Are you:
- an accomplished researcher/engineer;
- determined to advance AI x-safety;
- in need of world-class mentorship + community?

Apply by Nov 17 for our Winter Program!
matsprogram.org
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