Chris Wecht

I took over the projections for @FantasyPts two years ago

We track our projection accuracy across all players on the DK Main Slate each week and compare to other major projection providers across the industry

I had a strong first season in 2024 but not the best

After a really strong Week 18 FantasyPoints finished the NFL regular season with the highest correlation of projected DK points to actual DK points

Projections are really really good throughout the industry so the edges are minor but they can make a big difference in a singular week

People think projections is largely just a model that spits out numbers but there is so much subjective stuff that goes into it. Coaching tendencies, depth chart moves, transactions, etc. all require a ton of time analyzing and deciding what is real and what is just noise

Hope this helps put FantasyPoints on the map as a serious DFS content and data provider

Ashton Jeanty has the lowest Rush Yards Over Expectation of any RB since 2025 at −265.5 (min 200 carries). No one else is close

He has a league-low −103.7 Rush Yards Over Expectation this season (min 84 carries). No one else is close

He has a league-low 3.09 YPC this season (min 84 carries). No one else is close

Data via @FantasyPtsData

Jaguars TPRR over the past 4 weeks among Parker Washington, Jakobi Meyers, and Brenton Strange

Washington has only posted a higher TPRR than each of Meyers and Strange once over the past 4 weeks

Data via @FantasyPtsData

Through 7 weeks this is the best season of Tony Pollard's career since joining the Titans

He has finally posted a positive rushing yards over expectation with the team at this point in the season

Data via @FantasyPtsData

This was Tee Higgins' highest YPRR in a single week (4.63) since 2021 Week 12 when he had 5.18 YPRR (min 10 routes)

There have been 14 games of a Bengals WR/TE running 25+ routes this season

The two highest single-week YPRRs both belong to Tee Higgins (4.63 in Week 7 and 3.80 in Week 2)

Data via @FantasyPtsData