Would not be surprised to see a low-topped supercell or two with isolated large hail and brief tornado potential across far eastern New Mexico/west Texas (particularly near the Lubbock area) this afternoon/evening. A robust trough will make its way into the southern High Plains today, interacting with a stream of meager but seasonally adequate moisture. Cold air aloft should overspread the region and destabilize the atmosphere enough to support stronger updrafts, and ample low-level and deep-layer shear should be supportive of supercells. SPC has just added a Marginal Risk (level 1/5) to support this threat.
