Declines of this magnitude don’t occur by chance or good luck. We have a long way to fully understand all of the drivers, but Jeff Asher’s & John Roman’s data-informed musings are excellent starting points. Some key policies implemented in 2022-2024 are being reversed.
Homicides are down 21% year-to-date in 2025 across the top 30 cities, following national declines of 12% in 2023 and 15% in 2024. If this trend holds, the U.S. could see the fewest murders in over 50 years and the lowest per capita homicide rate ever recorded.View quoted post on X
