Electoral Calculus

@ElectCalculus

Electoral Calculus (electoralcalculus.co.uk) is a quantitative political consultancy, well-known for its website of election predictions and data.

United Kingdom electoralcalculus.co.uk Joined September 2016

152 Following 26K Followers 1.5K Posts

Latest posts 5

Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus 4d

In line with our prediction on Monday 2 Nov, Democrats have won control of the US Senate.

The Democrats will win 54-56 seats, close to our forecast of 53 seats (range 50-60).
electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_usa_2…

Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus Nov 2

We predict the Democrats will win a majority in the US Senate in the US midterms on Tue 3 Nov, with 53 seats out of 100, including 2 Democrat-aligned independents. (Pred range: 50 to 60)

Republicans are forecast to take 47 seats. (Pred range: 40 to 50)
electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_usa_2…

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Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus 4d

We correctly predicted that the Democrats would win a majority in the US House of Representatives.

Our forecast put the party within a range of 228 to 278 seats. Counting is still under way.

Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus Nov 2

We predict the Democrats will win the US House of Representatives with 239 seats out of 435 in the US midterms on Tue 3 Nov. (Predicted range: 228 to 278)

The Republicans are forecast to take 196 seats. (Predicted range: 157 to 207)

electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_usa_2…

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Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus Nov 2

We predict the Democrats will win a majority in the US Senate in the US midterms on Tue 3 Nov, with 53 seats out of 100, including 2 Democrat-aligned independents. (Pred range: 50 to 60)

Republicans are forecast to take 47 seats. (Pred range: 40 to 50)
electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_usa_2…

Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus Nov 2

We predict the Democrats will win the US House of Representatives with 239 seats out of 435 in the US midterms on Tue 3 Nov. (Predicted range: 228 to 278)

The Republicans are forecast to take 196 seats. (Predicted range: 157 to 207)

electoralcalculus.co.uk/blogs/ec_usa_2…

Electoral Calculus @ElectCalculus Oct 30

Our latest poll-of-polls shows that #Labour has bounced back into an overall majority and would have 365 seats if a general election were held now.

The #Conservatives would be the opposition. #Reform drops to 4th on 57 seats behind the Lib Dems
More here electoralcalculus.co.uk/prediction_mai…