Michael McDonald

@ElectProject

Professor at the University of Florida who specializes in American elections.

Gainesville, FL electproject.org Joined September 2012

573 Following 95K Followers 49K Posts

Latest posts 5

This bad take WSJ story about "disillusioned" youth voters annoyed me so much that I decided to debunk it with data. No, it was older voters who didn't vote michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/no-wall-stre…

michaelmcdonald.substack.com No, Wall Street Journal, Youth Turnout Was Up The latest in no-data bad takes comes from the Wall Street Journal, which proclaims:

Michael McDonald @ElectProject 1d

Florida Governor DeSantis may not be the tonic Republicans need to chase away the blues michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/how-desantis…

michaelmcdonald.substack.com How DeSantis Won Florida It likely wasn’t because he inspired Republicans to vote

Michael McDonald @ElectProject 4d

What to expect with the Mississippi U.S. Senate election michaelmcdonald.substack.com/p/mississippi-…

michaelmcdonald.substack.com Mississippi Provisional Ballots As I write this, the Associated Press is reporting Democrat Scott Colum holds a 43 vote lead over Republican Cindy Hyde-Smith in the Mississippi U.S.

Michael McDonald @ElectProject 5d

I posted a preliminary turnout rate for the 2026 election: 124.3 million voted for a turnout rate of 49.42% among those eligible to vote. Falls short of the 2018 turnout rate of 50.05%, which was the highest since 1914
election.lab.ufl.edu/2026-general-e…

Michael McDonald @ElectProject 5d

I'm posting Election Day turnout by party registration for Delaware, Florida, and Nevada over on the better place. Won't post them here