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Gavin Harris

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@GavinFHarris

Writing on SI at the Foundation for American Innovation

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Washington, D.C. Joined October 2026
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Gavin Harris Verified account @GavinFHarris
"the most important AI R&D contributions aren't yet fully automated" = claude can't yet do long-term strategy, judgment, and risky innovation consistently?

Phew, was starting to worry that McKinsey consultants wouldn't have any reason to exercise their creativity...
METR @METR_Evals 2d
3. Interviews and surveys with staff are consistent with AI usage driving current acceleration, though this evidence is very hard to interpret. Staff self-report dramatic productivity gains, but say the most important AI R&D contributions aren’t yet fully automated.
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Gavin Harris Verified account @GavinFHarris
placing my chips on Estonia as the new Singapore. In a few years Estonia could be the first AI-governed state 🇪🇪
Tallinn Digital Summit @TallinnSummit 3d
"We are already a digital nation, and now we want to become an AI nation. We have the mindset, the people and the digital infrastructure to make it happen."

— @KeitKasemets, Secretary of State 🇪🇪

🔹 Fireside chat: OECD Secretary-General and State Secretary of Estonia #TDS2026
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Gavin Harris Verified account @GavinFHarris
One insane bit from today's amended Anthropic S-1 I anticipated below - $100.2 billion in (minimum) compute commitments signed since September 30! That's $100B in a month.

Also, $895B confirmed total compute commitments (up from $807B that I totaled)
policygradients.thefai.org/p/anthropics-s…
policygradients.thefai.org Anthropic’s S-1 is Ready for the Singularity’s Upheaval Inside the the governance and compute bets of a company planning for the singularity
Gavin Harris Verified account @GavinFHarris
You've probably already seen something on Anthropic's S-1 on your feed. It's definitely weird, but I decided to zoom in on the two things you need to know to understand Anthropic's prospectus: the governance structure and the compute commitments.