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Matthew Gross
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Fascinated by extreme weather and the extreme events that come with it. (Any fantasy hour maps posted are for entertainment & learning purposes, not forecasts.)
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The Canadian model is very close to something wild next weekend. Assuming you get this much energy bundling in the southern branch (you probably won't), all you would need to truly get the party started is that northern piece (more energy + cold air) to phase into the northwest side of the storm.
"This is not the end. It is not even the beginning of the end. But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning."
- Winston Churchill
- Winston Churchill
We're still 4-6wks away from ENSO peak, first distant signs of the Super El Niño's demise is here! Cooling, deep in the Indo-Pacific, has begun migrating eastward while the cooling has intensified, it'll still take several months to chew away the 2026-27 Super El Niño event.View quoted post on X
It's crazy to think that as wild as the Blizzard of 2005 was, it left an entire additional layer of explosive potential on the table with that energy in the desert southwest near the Mexico / Arizona border not getting released. If that came out and phased into the south side of the storm as it was getting going along the east coast, the NESIS CAT 5 club has another member.
Blizzard of 2005
500mb Vort
P Type Maps
250mb Jet
ERA 5 Re-analysisView quoted post on X
