J.L. Partners 🇺🇸

J.L. Partners 2024 🇺🇸

🔴 Most accurate POTUS forecast model
🔴 Called Trump popular vote win
🔴 Most accurate in OH for 2nd cycle in a row
🔴 Best Senate forecast in @WSJ
🔴 Correct turnout and nonwhite %s

For the best corporate and political research: jlpartners.com

NEW: NY-21 polling of likely voters in @nypost

🔴 Anthony Constantino (R): 53%
🔵 Blake Gendebien (D): 40%
⚫️ Undecided: 7%

500 LV, mixed mode, Aug 15-17, MoE 4.4%

NEW: Arkansas Senate polling of likely voters in @dcexaminer

🔴 Tom Cotton (R): 51%
🔵 Hallie Shoffner (D): 35%
🟡 Jeff Wadlin (L): 4%
⚫️ Undecided: 11%

803 LV, mixed mode, Aug 14-18, MoE 3.5%

NEW Democrat 2028 primary voters polling in @DailyMail

Kamala Harris leads by 17 points

Kamala Harris 31% (+2)
Gavin Newsom 14% (-1)
Pete Buttigieg 9% (-2)
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 7% (+1)
Josh Shapiro 5% (+1)
Jon Ossoff 4% (+3)

n=516, June 17-20, changes on June

NEW Republican 2028 primary voters polling in @DailyMail

JD Vance leads by 30 points

JD Vance: 48% (-3)
Marco Rubio: 18% (+4)
Ron DeSantis: 12% (+3)
Ted Cruz: 5% (-)
Vivek Ramaswamy: 2% (-)
Sarah H Sanders: 2% (+2)
Nikki Haley: 2% (-)

n=543, July 17-20, changes on June