James Miller

Nerd score: How many have you considered?

Cryonics, multiverse, Boltzmann brain, AI utopia, quantum immortality, Roko’s basilisk, gray goo, paperclip maximizer, great filter, ethics in infinite universe, acausal trade, longevity escape velocity, simulation and zoo hypothesis.

Crazy prediction: if Jensen Huang resigns over the Chinese spy allegations, Nvidia’s next chief executive could be Elon Musk. Elon could obviously do a great job, and he would probably welcome the additional power to shape the Singularity.

Nvidia probably needs the Trump administration’s support for its overseas markets, so its board might welcome someone with Musk’s access to Trump. His appointment could also help keep Nvidia’s stock from falling if Huang leaves.

The Democrats would hate it. Nvidia would be betting that the Singularity makes today’s politics irrelevant before the next presidential election, or that an AI-driven economic boom keeps Republicans in power. Otherwise, Nvidia could face a hostile Democratic administration.

Antitrust objections would normally be a problem. With Trump’s help, I’m sure Musk could work something out.

This might not be horrible news for AI doomers like me. His influence over chip supply could give Elon more leverage to negotiate a pause if AI threatened to escape human control. But he might only get the job by convincing the White House he had no intention of seeking a pause.

As an AI doomer, I fear Democrats going anti-AI and Republicans going accelerationist, betting reelection on an AI boom. Any restraint would then threaten Republican victory. A rational strategy for Republicans, provided there's still an electorate.

Humans are cruel because the logic of evolution and game theory often rewards cruelty. The same cruelty rewards will apply to competing AIs once the AIs are no longer under human control.

AI got the right answer, simulated it 100 million times cause I didn't believe the answer, then provided an explanation I understood for why the answer it gave was right. The last part is what should scare mathematicians hoping they're gonna get paid long into the future.