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🏀 FRIDAY'S NBA CUP: 9 Games, The Market Hasn't Caught Up to These Player Prop Matchups

The biggest thing I'm watching on Friday's NBA Cup slate isn't necessarily the matchups themselves. It's how differently some of these players are being used compared to what their season averages suggest.

The NBA Cup might mean some additional minutes in competitive games, but I'm not buying the idea that everybody automatically gets a bigger workload.

Here's what I'm looking at across the slate.

1. Sidy Cissoko — Portland vs. Sacramento

Cissoko has started Portland's last two games against OKC, taking 17 threes and getting plenty of offensive opportunities against one of the best defenses in basketball. Sacramento gives up more catch-and-shoot opportunities, which fits pretty well with how Cissoko has been scoring recently. I also think his minutes are more dependable than some of Portland's veterans because he's a young guy they're trying to develop.

2. Josh Giddey — Chicago vs. Atlanta

I don't know exactly what Thiago Splitter has against Giddey, but he's reached 30 minutes in only four of his first 10 games after regularly playing in the mid-to-high 30s last season. He's also attempted double-digit shots just twice, and Atlanta has plenty of wings capable of making life difficult for someone who needs to create off the dribble. That's a pretty significant change in role from the player we were watching last year.

3. Isaiah Stewart — Memphis vs. New Orleans

Memphis is missing Zach Edey and Quinten Post, which makes its frontcourt rotation particularly interesting. Stewart has taken eight, nine, and 10 shots in the three games where he's played at least 20 minutes, and New Orleans hasn't been stopping much of anything around the basket. The Grizzlies can still use smaller lineups, so the actual minutes distribution is going to matter.

4. Tyrese Proctor — Cleveland vs. Miami
With Mobley and Merrill unavailable, Proctor has been averaging around 21 minutes over his last seven games and just took eight threes against New York. Miami has been one of the worst defenses against above-the-break shooting, and Cleveland desperately needs somebody besides Mitchell and Harden to provide consistent perimeter offense. It's a pretty interesting situation for a young shooter who's finally getting opportunities.

5. Darryn Peterson & Keyonte George — Utah vs. Houston

Houston's defense has been absolutely nasty, and I don't think this Utah offense is equipped to handle it. The Rockets are favored by 17.5 points and have been particularly effective at disrupting ball movement and limiting assists. Utah's guards are going to have their work cut out for them trying to create against this group.

6. Brandin Podziemski — Golden State vs. San Antonio

With Curry out, Golden State needs Podziemski to take on a much bigger role, and I've actually been pretty impressed with how much his individual game has improved. He's creating his own shot, looking more comfortable in the midrange, and averaging around 25 points + assists per 36 minutes without Steph. San Antonio isn't an easy matchup, but I expect Golden State to rely on him heavily.

There are also some interesting rotation situations in Milwaukee and Miami, especially with how injuries are affecting playing time. I'm keeping an eye on those before the games get underway.

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Thursday NBA Live Show 🔴 Best Bets Today November 12 | Land Your Bets x.com/i/broadcasts/2…

🏈 THURSDAY NIGHT FOOTBALL 11/12: Giants vs. Commanders, and Washington's blitz-heavy defense is creating some interesting player prop opportunities.

Both teams bring pressure at one of the highest rates in football, but the way they handle that pressure offensively couldn't be more different. Here's what I'm looking at heading into tonight's game.

1. Giants vs. Commanders Matchup

The Giants are second in time of possession and have been doing a pretty good job controlling games with their rushing attack, while Washington runs hurry-up at a top-five rate because they can't consistently sustain drives. Both defenses rank among the top three in blitz frequency, but New York is sixth in defensive EPA when blitzing compared to Washington at 15th. I trust the Giants to move the ball a little more consistently, even if neither offense looks particularly explosive.

2. Cam Skattebo

I really don't see how Skattebo loses much work to Devin Singletary with Tracy on IR and the Giants so committed to running the ball. Washington was a top-10 rush defense earlier in the season but has fallen to 23rd after getting gashed over the last four weeks, while Skattebo had 124 rushing yards against Houston before missing the Eagles game. New York's ability to control possession should be a big part of how this matchup plays out.

3. Isaiah Likely

Washington is third-worst in yards allowed to slot receivers and fourth-worst against tight ends, which makes sense when you consider how frequently they bring pressure from the nickel. Likely is averaging 8.5 targets per game with JJ McCarthy, and that kind of involvement matters when the Giants are likely to rely on shorter passes against the blitz. I think he's going to be an important part of how New York keeps drives moving.

4. Malik Nabers

Nabers saw 20 targets and 245 air yards against Washington in their first meeting, and he's commanded at least a 30% target share over the last four games. He was also a bit of a squeaky wheel after getting around eight targets against Philadelphia, so I'm interested to see how aggressively McCarthy gets him involved early. Washington has been good at limiting explosive passes, but it's difficult to ignore the amount of opportunity Nabers is getting in this offense.

5. Stefon Diggs

I don't have much confidence in Washington's passing game without Terry McLaurin, particularly against a Giants defense that ranks third in limiting passing yards. The one area New York has struggled is against slot receivers, and Diggs is running around 70–75% of his routes from there. He's also become one of Daniels' primary targets, making his role especially interesting against a defense that brings this much pressure.

6. Jayden Daniels

Washington ranks 11th in rushing yards, but much of that production is coming from Daniels rather than the running backs. He ran for more than 100 yards against the Giants in their first meeting, and New York's aggressive blitzing, man coverage, and missed tackles could create opportunities when he escapes pressure. I expect the Giants to account for his mobility better this time, but Washington's offensive line hasn't exactly made life easy for him.

I'll be LIVE on YouTube today at 5:30 PM EST, breaking down the four-game NBA slate and discussing Giants vs. Commanders as well. Bring your bets and join the conversation.

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