Nate Silver

This account is verified. Learn more

@NateSilver538

Founder of Silver Bulletin: natesilver.substack.com, and cohost of Still Counting podcast!

New York Joined August 2008

1.8K Following 3.1M Followers 46K Posts

Latest posts 5

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 4h

Biggest D gains in the US House popular vote versus 2022. Note that there are some slightly fancy adjustments here for uncontested districts:

Utah +29.5
North Dakota +28.6
Alabama +28.1
Indiana +24.6
Mississippi +23.7
Wyoming +23.0
Louisiana +21.7

All super red states.

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 6h

If Mississippi gets called for Colom, Democrats will have won an election to the U.S. Senate in 43 distinct states since 2008. Republicans are at 35, by comparison.

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 1d

Should probably have held this for next week, but what the hell. I found myself sketching out some Senate scenarios on my train down to DC, so I figured I’d share some *very* early views about what the *2028* Senate map might look like under 3 scenarios:

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 1d

Yeah, there will be no pivot to the center. This is what you get when you have an 80-year-old president who doesn't really gaf about the future of the Republican Party.

Seung Min Kim Verified account @seungminkim 1d

WASHINGTON (AP) — Trump replaces Susie Wiles with Stephen Miller as White House chief of staff after GOP's midterm defeat.
View quoted post on X

Nate Silver @NateSilver538 2d

No credit if you don't release them publicly lol

Politics & Poll Tracker 📡 Verified account @PollTracker2024 2d

Change Research releases polls they conducted for US Senate races just days before the midterms:

View quoted post on X