Twitxy Saved

Nicolas Hull

Verified account Kalshi

@Nhull28

BD at Kalshi.
Joined September 2025
41 Following 581 Followers 13 Posts

Latest posts 5

Nicolas Hull Verified account @Nhull28
Every Tesla, every Starlink dish, every rocket on the pad. All of it needs tungsten. It’s in chips, jet engines, drones, missiles, and armor-piercing rounds.

It's in everything America is trying to build. China controls most of the world’s supply. Prices are up 500%+, including a 94% spike in six weeks this spring.

Oil has futures. Gold has futures. Copper has futures. Tungsten had nothing. So we built it.

Through @PillarHQ, an Ohio metals distributor locked in protection against tungsten prices on Kalshi. A real American business, hedged against a geopolitical supply shock, on a market that didn’t exist until now.
20 replies 39 reposts 547 likes 206K views View on X
Nicolas Hull Verified account @Nhull28
An LA hospitality group runs 25 bars, many of them right by Dodger Stadium. Every extra playoff game means packed bars. An early exit means lost revenue they were counting on.

So they hedged it. They put $60,000 on Kalshi on the Dodgers *not* making the World Series.

The Dodgers lost the NLCS to the Brewers. The position returned nearly 2x, helping cover the playoff business that *never* came.

A Columbia law professor told Fortune it works like “a form of bespoke insurance.”

Read the full story here: fortune.com/2026/10/19/pre…
fortune.com Prediction markets are now ‘bespoke insurance’ for businesses, and a Los Angeles restaurant group’s... One unnamed hospitality group placed a $60,000 trade on Kalshi to offset revenue losses from the Dodgers’ World Series miss, according to the platform.
168 replies 450 reposts 8.5K likes 1.9M views View on X
Nicolas Hull Verified account @Nhull28
Brenden Theaters runs 7 movie theaters across 4 states. Their revenue lives and dies on one thing they can't control: how many movies the studios decide to release.

Big slate, full theaters. Thin slate, empty seats.

So COO Robert Lytle asked us to list a market: "How many wide film releases next quarter?"

Brenden now takes the side they don't want to happen: fewer than 60 films. Thin slate, the trade pays out. Big slate, they lose the trade but sell more tickets.

He calls it "almost an insurance policy."

"The theater industry, we're really slow at adoption and really slow at innovation. We're trying to be a company that's kind of on the forefront of a lot of these things now."

Read the full article here: cbsnews.com/news/kalshi-sm…
www.cbsnews.com Small businesses roll the dice on Kalshi to manage their risks Hundreds of small businesses are using the prediction market to hedge against a range of business risks, according to Kalshi. Here's how.
17 replies 16 reposts 127 likes 1.1M views View on X
Nicolas Hull Verified account @Nhull28
Institutional finance has poured more than $60 billion into sports since 2019, across franchises, leagues, media rights, and venues. Sports is now an asset class.

When that much capital rides on game outcomes, you have to hedge it.

LSU owes Lane Kiffin a $3M bonus if LSU wins it all. LSU bought insurance against it from a sports insurer.

The insurer didn’t want to carry that risk alone. Last month they hedged $662,050 on Kalshi buying contracts that pay out $3M if LSU wins. They essentially re-insured the risk.

Read the full story here: cbssports.com/college-footba…
www.cbssports.com How a prediction market insured $3M in LSU title bonuses in 72 seconds - CBS Sports A third-party insurer placed five trades on prediction market Kalshi that match the exact $3 million figure LSU would owe Lane Kiffin in College Football Playoff bonuses.