If you actually did this, you are going to know HOW MANY cards you turned over when the ace appears. If that's on the n-th card, then the probability is 3/(52-n).
Frequentist indoctrination is like a drug of amnesia.
Frequentist indoctrination is like a drug of amnesia.
A standard 52-card deck is shuffled. You turn over cards from the top, one at a time, until the first ace appears. What is the probability that the next card is also an ace?View quoted post on X