The Mississippi Senate election, with 948,648 votes counted, Scott Colom (D) leads Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) by 1,138 votes.
I’ve analysed the outstanding votes using county-level election results, historical affidavit-ballot data and Monte Carlo simulations.
Here’s what I found. 🧵
I’ve analysed the outstanding votes using county-level election results, historical affidavit-ballot data and Monte Carlo simulations.
Here’s what I found. 🧵
Mississippi Senate: AP has Colom up 65, DDHQ up 1,864. Which is right? We checked county reports: AP is missing batches counties already released. Local figures match DDHQ in Warren, Clay and Lowndes, putting Colom's floor near +1,240 before affidavits. #MSSen #MississippiView quoted post on X