Pollitik

@Pollitik_Lab

We report timely, politically relevant research on executive approval.

pollitik.substack.com Joined January 2021

2K Following 1.4K Followers 859 Posts

Latest posts 5

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 14, 2025

📣📈Our updated fundamentals forecast for the #Chile 🇨🇱 presidential race is out! The first round of voting is this Sunday. Read our forecast in the 🔗 below this post!

#ChileVota #UnidadPorChile #EleccionesChile

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 5, 2025

Big thanks to @gelliottmorris for joining us today to deliver our Fall 2025 Trajectory Talk. Follow his work @50plus1news & support his newsletter strengthinnumbers.substack.com

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 5, 2025

While we projected @MikieSherrill to win in #NewJersey, we undershot her vote shares by 6.8 points (the same amount as @50plus1news).

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 3, 2025

📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏

View quoted post on X

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 5, 2025

How did we do in #Virginia? Well...we missed high on Winsome-Earle's vote share +2.4.

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Oct 28, 2025

Our fundametals forecast for the #Virginia governor's race is here! Our model is trained on 100s of US governors races over several decades. We predict vote shares of #GOP successor candidate @WinsomeSears. Take a look! 🔗in comment.

View quoted post on X

Pollitik @Pollitik_Lab Nov 3, 2025

📢Our Fundamentals Forecaster is now on Substack! 📰All data are from 6 months prior to Election Day. 📅
📈No vote intentions data used, just good old fashioned fundamentals.📉 Pls like & repost. 🙏