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@PrefShares

Curious.
Joined March 2016
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prefshares Verified account @PrefShares
No one knows.

No one knows how algorithmic and silicon improvements will drive effective compute supply per GW of capacity.

No one knows how much demand there will be.

No one knows what 2030 lab ARR will be or how mature the agentic internet and enterprise will be in a few years. We don’t even know what types of applications we will have.

No one knows what AI CapEx will be.

No one knows how many GWs we will need in 2032.

No one knows what WFE will be.

Anthropic does not know. Google does not know. SemiAnalysis does not know. Jensen does not know.

Nobody knows.
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prefshares Verified account @PrefShares
Would be a great opportunity.
Joey Brookhart Verified account @SaasquatchC 5d
I'm looking for someone to help our team cover the consumer side of AI markets. If you know anyone who's passionate on writing, researching, and modeling what's going on in consumer AI and legacy internet business models, please have them apply!

semianalysis.com/semianalysis-c…
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prefshares Verified account @PrefShares
So the issue is that this is what she puts outs there as her “official position.”

But the “official position” is often a euphemism for informal positions.

“Giving Texans a seat at the table.”

How many city councils do you think are going to affirmatively vote for large DC projects?
Wall St Engine Verified account @wallstengine 5d
Gina Hinojosa may not be as bad for Texas data centers as it looks.

Her plan asks for: no subsidies, union labor, no NDAs, and proof household power and water bills won't rise.

Much of that is already underway:

Amazon, Google, Meta, Microsoft, OpenAI, Oracle and xAI pledged in March to bring their own power and pay for transmission

Microsoft pledged to pay full property taxes without seeking tax breaks

Nvidia is working with Vistra, NextEra and Constellation on data centers that cut power use when the grid is strained
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