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Dan Taylor

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@ProfAnalytics

Professor @Wharton; Forensic Analytics; expertise in financial data analysis, SEC filings, accounting fraud, and insider trading.
236 Following 3.9K Followers 1K Posts

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Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics
This is why I study insider trading.
Dr Sarah Sammons Verified account @drsarahsam Mar 23, 2022
“I’m guided by what I’m really outraged about and what I think I can actually try to influence. It may be that I can only influence things one case at a time, but ultimately, the plan is always to try and improve the system.”

May we all pick outrageous causes for change..
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Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics
Reminder, that these are paperwork shifts not economic shifts. And DE caps its corp taxes at ~$250K/company. So virtually no effect on tax revenue. Everything else is politically motivated DOOMER b.s.
Robert Anderson Verified account @ProfRobAnderson 3d
Companies keep reincorporating out of Delaware and it's not even the main proxy season. At this point, it's a leadership failure. I was initially optimistic about the Governor's efforts to reform but he isn't taking this seriously. The corporate franchise revenue is 1/4 of the state's budget!
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Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics
unusual_whales Verified account @unusual_whales 2d
BREAKING: A mystery seller is trying to dump about $500 million in data center loans all at once, per Bloomberg, days after the midterms raised doubts about many projects.

The anonymous seller is auctioning a dozen loans, including a $25 million piece of financing for a huge Stargate site in New Mexico, the joint project of OpenAI, SoftBank and Oracle.

Oracle has already sent that site’s developer a force majeure notice, a legal claim that events beyond its control may excuse it from its obligations.
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Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics
This account called Mississippi a toss-up when everyone else had it as Solid-R/Lean-R. Their sims had it at ~50/50. Worth a follow.
‘On Point Politics’ - Lester Tellez Verified account @onpointpolitics 3d
The more sure we were, the more RIGHT we were.

Called races by our confidence:
✅Safe, 95% and up: 302 of 302
✅Likely, 80 to 95%: 65 of 65
✅Lean, 65 to 80%: 33 of 35
🪙Toss ups: 18 of 23

That is what a calibrated forecast looks like.
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Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics
@RobinhoodApp Midterm event contracts still down. e.g., Texas/Michigan not resolved and untradeable.
Dan Taylor Verified account @ProfAnalytics 4d
$HOOD prediction market FAIL. Cant exit positions. @vladtenev this is a horrible experience. 12:06am ET and you show Abbott winning. GTFO. Cant exit at ANY price. Next time will bypass directly for @Kalshi. Do better.
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