Ryan Gentry

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Dispatch from a Texan, after the first statewide Democratic election victory in 30 years. A coalition of Latinos, youths, and suburban women showed up to the polls in record numbers for Democrats, while traditional Republican turnout (white men, rural, etc) was depressed. Why?

1. Affordability crisis, especially energy prices due to Iran war
Nearly 90% of voters said cost of living was a crucial or major factor. Inflation, energy prices, and interest rates were finally coming down from the post-COVID ramp up as 2026 began, starting a war with Iran reversed that and Republicans paid for it.

2. Government corruption and self-dealing as a pocketbook-linked motivator
90% of voters claimed that government corruption was a “crucial or major” factor in their vote. The $TRUMP memecoin, World Liberty Financial/USD1 stablecoin, reported multi-billion-dollar family profits, UAE-linked investments, associated pardons and regulatory actions, and related foreign-access claims were linked to the affordability crisis as “corruption makes life more expensive”.

3. Broken “America First / Drain the Swamp” promises
~90% of young voters disapproved of the Iran war. It reinforced the economic pain and undercut “America First / no new wars” expectations among groups that had moved toward Trump in 2024. Failure to follow through on Epstein-linked accountability did the same, with voices like @TuckerCarlson and @NickJFuentes (and even @elonmusk for a time) publicly breaking with the Republicans, depressing turnout among the isolationist/anti-swamp segment of the base that had been highly motivated in 2024.

4. Immigration enforcement backlash
Aggressive deportation efforts affected working families beyond “criminals only.” NBC and other polling showed large Latino disapproval of Trump’s immigration handling. This reversed 2024 gains and boosted Democratic preference and turnout (early-vote Latino share in Texas notably higher than 2022).

5. Candidate quality and local factors (Texas-specific amplifier)
In Texas, Paxton’s scandals and Abbott’s record made Democratic candidates more viable. Hinojosa's and Talarico's education experience in particular as a foil vs. Abbott's school voucher prioritization motivated voters to turn out for Democrats, though the impact paled in comparison to the national motivators of points 1-3.

In short, voters largely showed up to check the behavior of the federal executive and legislative branches, and ended up also changing the leadership of the state offices too. I hope the new state leadership does a good job, because Texas has been booming and if it ain't broke, don't fix it.

If ya don’t know, now ya know, bitcoiner!

So excited to see this released. Congrats to the team at @lightning for continuing to push the envelope and enable self-custodial bitcoin transactions for all!

This is the optimal Pokémon All-22:
1) biggest, most athletic OL and DL possible. Running on Snorlax and Muk is like running on 2023 UT with Sweat and Murphy
2) Raticate at slot WR is giving Welker/Amendola/Edelman. Literal gym rat, coach on the field
3) run a drag across the field and Kabutops will literally chop your head off

Disagree and you don’t know ball

Fun fact: the Hippo is the Hutto High School mascot, because in 1915 a circus train stopped in Hutto, Texas and a hippo escaped into nearby Cottonwood Creek. 🦛