Seahawk Nerd

@SeahawkNerd

Professional data analyst bringing mathematical thinking to all things Seattle Seahawks and the NFL.
seahawknerd.substack.com

Joined May 2021

643 Following 6.7K Followers 23K Posts

Latest posts 5

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Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 6d

⭐️ Week 9 Power Rankings ⭐️

After beating the Seahawks in MNF, the Bears now take the top spot. After 8 weeks, current season data accounts for 96% of the model's formula.

Current model projection has all four NFC North teams making the playoffs; LA & SEA missing out.

Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 9h

Teams ranked in a higher tier than their opponents went 12-1 in Week 9. The one loss was Browns in overtime, could've been 13-0 with a successful 2-pt conversion!

Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 6d

⭐️ Week 9 Power Rankings ⭐️

After beating the Seahawks in MNF, the Bears now take the top spot. After 8 weeks, current season data accounts for 96% of the model's formula.

Current model projection has all four NFC North teams making the playoffs; LA & SEA missing out.

View quoted post on X

Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 10h

Bills cover the -3.5 spread and the total points go under 45.5 ✅️

Maybe I'll bring this back for the next primetime game...

Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 16h

I simulated tonight's MNF game 2,000 times and the Bills won 62.4% of the simulated games. The two most common final scores covered the 3.5 point spread.

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Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 10h

With the Bills win on MNF, the Seahawks are currently favored to make the playoffs. Their competition is the Rams and NFC North. Lots of remaining games between these teams, though...

MIN @ GB
GB @ LAR
DET @ MIN
GB @ CHI
LA @ SEA
DET @ CHI
CHI @ MIN
DET @ GB
SEA @ LA

Seahawk Nerd @SeahawkNerd 11h

Low key I think the Seahawks should try to get Brandon Aiyuk. Not only would he have every incentive to dunk on the 49ers in the rematch game but the scheme fit actually makes sense for him as a sideline threat to stretch the defense.