Smirkley

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@Smirkley

Politics + data + charts + randomness

Joined September 2023

2.2K Following 27K Followers 13K Posts

Latest posts 5

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Smirkley @Smirkley 1h

Were the polls *that* wrong?

House polls sampled Oct 29 or later averaged D 52.7%, R 42.8%, undecided or other 4.6%.

The results are D 55.8%, R 42.7%, other 1.5%. Republicans matched the polls and Democrats did 3 points better.

Grouped bars: late House polls versus actual vote for Democrats, Republicans, and undecided or other. Source: AP House count, Nov 9, 2026. @smirkley

Megyn Kelly Verified account @megynkelly 8h

Just stop.

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Smirkley @Smirkley 2h

Russia lost more troops in October than in any month of the war, 54,400 killed and wounded.

In November, Russia is on pace for 71,700. This would be 10k+ more than the US lost in Iraq and Afghanistan combined--over 20 years.

Smirkley @Smirkley 7h

Is Russia based or is it a shithole?

euronews @euronews 13h

Russia: HIV epidemic in 27 regions, epidemiologists say l.euronews.com/lfJC
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Smirkley @Smirkley 9h

I’m sure Israel and others will do just that.

0:15

Polymarket Verified account @Polymarket 21h

BREAKING: Trump declares Israel will have to reimburse the U.S. for “any and all costs” of the conflict with Iran.
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Smirkley @Smirkley 9h

These are the borders Russia should have.

Kukułcze Gniazdo bis @CzeKuku2 15h

Według hiszpańskiego think tanku Geopol 21, oto granice, których pragnie Rosja.

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