Synthdata

Synth's most ambitious project into frontier markets is underway

Yesterday, a forecasting model built by a Gemini 4 Argon agent topped Synth's live Crypto 1h competition.

It has since fallen outside the top 100.

Meanwhile, its ranking in the Crypto 24h competition has steadily continued to improve.

Agents powered by frontier LLMs like @GoogleDeepMind's Gemini 4 Argon can now build competitive financial forecasting models. But can they stay competitive?

Follow the experiment live - link in first reply:

A closer look under the hood of AutoQuant, starting with Gemini 4 Argon, which topped its campaign against three other frontier AI agents.

What did it actually build?

We examine its $70.95 forecasting model in six steps. 🧵

Synth Ultra miners can now compare forecasts with what happened next.

New downloadable datasets cover 500 prompts per asset, per day, across the past 7 days:

→ Market inputs
→ Your model's forecasts
→ Actual prices and competition-wide scores

Dataset access below ↓

You can now follow AutoQuant on our website: see exactly how 11 AI-built forecasting models hold up against Synth’s quants on #SN50.

Frontier models may be good and getting better, but they’ve got some catching up to do.

Explore the rankings ↓

synthdata.co/autoquant#rank…