AtlasIntel

POLLSTER ACCURACY
2024 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
National Popular Vote

AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the US Presidential Election 2nd time in a row, both at the national level and in key swing states.

Please note: margins may change with the final vote count, but the ranking is unlikely to change significantly. Once the data is final, an updated table will be posted.

🇺🇸 ATLAS POLL | 2028 DEMOCRATIC PRIMARIES

🔵 Jon Ossoff: 18.2%
🔵 Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez: 17.6%
🔵 Pete Buttigieg: 15.8%
🔵 Kamala Harris: 12.6%
🔵 Mark Kelly: 9.1%
🔵 Gavin Newsom: 9.0%
🔵 Andy Beshear: 3.9%
⚪ Others: 11.5%
⚪ None of the above: 2.3%

Jon Ossoff leads the 2028 Democratic presidential primary preferences with 18.2%, narrowly ahead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (17.6%) and Pete Buttigieg (15.8%).

Atlas VRC captures an audience reaction to a video clip in real time. A representative sample of Latinos allowed us to conclude that Maria Elvira Salazar’s ad criticizing immigration policy and ICE raids was highly successful, while Trump’s response to it was badly received.

POLLSTER ACCURACY
🇺🇸 2026 MIDTERMS
National Generic Ballot

AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster of the 2026 Midterms.

Please note: the ranking is unlikely to change but exact errors depend on the final vote count. An updated table will reflect the final data.

About a third of tonight’s surprise comes from the Latino vote. To help the public better understand Latino mobilization in the 2026 midterms, AtlasIntel is releasing an exclusive poll of the entire US Latino voter base. See the highlights below 👇