Cody Main

I was no exception to the "If you think you've got 20 pounds to lose, you probably have 40-50 pounds to lose" rule of thumb.

Down 40.5 pounds in 5 months, here's what I did:

Expected Week 9 survival rate in the Splash World Championship based on pre-game win probabilities and actual selections was 53.9%. Odds of at least 98.4% of entries surviving was 2.8%. Wen chaos?

Buffalo:
Offensive EPA/play: 2nd
Defensive EPA/play: 23rd

Minnesota:
Offensive EPA/play: 28th
Defensive EPA/play: 1st

A few interesting nuggets from tonight's BUF-MIN showdown slate:

* For the first time in 252 primetime showdown slates, no WR/TE at $5000 or less projects for 3+ DraftKings points.
* Ty Johnson ($3400) is the only RB/WR/TE priced $5k or less who projects for 3+ DK points, the average slate has six such players, only four slates have had just one.
* This is Justin Jefferson's ($9800) cheapest primetime showdown price tag since 2021
* The ownership gap between Josh Allen (86.5%) and Jefferson (57.7%) is the 12th-largest gap between a slate's two highest owned players

having to explain to my wife why Nebraska went for 2 down 8