Connor Long

🚨 Introducing PCVR (Play Caller Value Rating)

I've spent a TON of time developing a new NFL analytics model to evaluate offensive play-calling across all 32 teams.

We have EPA, DVOA, success rate, etc.- you name it. But how much do those numbers actually tell us about the guy calling the plays?

That's what I'm trying to figure out.

Using NFL-verse play-by-play data and FTN charting, PCVR evaluates four areas:

• Situational play-calling (40%)
• Drive sustainability (30%)
• Personnel usage (15%)
• Formation disguise (15%)

The goal beyond production and better understand the decisions coordinators make, while accounting for player talent and game circumstances as much as the data allows.

I broke down the full methodology, how the model works, and its limitations in my first Substack article.

Full breakdown in replies ⬇️

I really don't understand the push for the #Jets to bench Geno Smith in favor of Cade Klubnik.

You're finally getting high-level QB play, your young offensive weapons are developing, and now you want to potentially derail all of that to evaluate a fourth-round rookie?

For what, exactly?

What is Klubnik realistically going to show over eight games that would justify passing on a QB in April?

I understand wanting to see what the kid has, especially at 2-7, but there's a lot more to lose here than there is to gain.

NEW JETS POD:

Steve Overmyer joins me to preview the #Jets trade deadline, discuss Will McDonald's trade request, potential moves, Aaron Glenn's future, and where this team goes from here.

Lots to unpack!

WATCH: ⬇️
youtube.com/watch?v=F_B5FM…

NEWS: The #Jets are signing LB Mykal Walker to their practice squad, a source tells me.

Walker appeared in 14 games for New York last season, contributing on defense and special teams. He was released with an injury settlement after roster cuts.

I don't understand the #Jets' thought process with Will McDonald.

You're 2-7 and reportedly turning down second-round picks for a 27-year-old EDGE who doesn't fit your scheme and has requested a trade at multiple points.

He's not an every-down player, and you're approaching a major financial decision with him. What exactly are you holding out for?

Getting a second-round pick for a player who clearly isn't part of your long-term plans should be a no-brainer.

Just awful asset management.