Ahead of next week's Space & Defense Investor Summit, @daynagrayson revisited our core thesis at Construct and reminded us all why we’re here as investors. She joined @itsmoislam on the Arkaea Media Group x @NYSE Space & Defense Market Update to unpack Construct’s original point of view that there is a $50T opportunity for public company market cap, alone, that can be restored over the next decades as tech-first industrial companies mature and leapfrog their staid industrial peers.
Our thesis – which we've held since founding Construct Capital in 2020 – is that there is $50T+ of market cap to be created once the most foundational industries of our economy catch up from 30+ years of neglect, lack of tech innovation and underinvestment. These sectors drive half the GDP but the industrial public companies do not represent a similar share of the S&P and they should; the industrial sector declined from 15% of the S&P 500 in 1990 to just 8% by 2024. As manufacturing moved offshore and investment shifted toward software and the internet in the late 1990s, America's Foundational Industries fell behind, leaving decades of unrealized economic value.
We started Construct as we saw the best entrepreneurs from market making tech companies turn their attention to fixing the most Foundational Industries of our economy.
We believe advances in AI, automation and manufacturing can help close that gap, with the industrial sector's market cap potentially growing from $3.7 trillion today to $55 trillion by 2050.
A few highlights from their conversation:
1:05:27 | Our $50T thesis: The opportunity to create an entirely new generation of technology-first industrial companies.
1:11:24 | Is the lean startup for digital startups dead? Is it cheaper to build in the physical world? How advances in manufacturing are challenging traditional assumptions about the cost of building physical products.
1:12:13 | The rise of physical AI: The potential for AI to transform transportation, manufacturing and other physical industries.
1:14:30 | Capital flowing into defense: Why defense is an early adopter of industrial innovation, but the opportunity extends far beyond the sector.
Watch the conversation (Dayna joins at 1:01:00): tv.nyse.com/arkaea-x-nyse-…
Our thesis – which we've held since founding Construct Capital in 2020 – is that there is $50T+ of market cap to be created once the most foundational industries of our economy catch up from 30+ years of neglect, lack of tech innovation and underinvestment. These sectors drive half the GDP but the industrial public companies do not represent a similar share of the S&P and they should; the industrial sector declined from 15% of the S&P 500 in 1990 to just 8% by 2024. As manufacturing moved offshore and investment shifted toward software and the internet in the late 1990s, America's Foundational Industries fell behind, leaving decades of unrealized economic value.
We started Construct as we saw the best entrepreneurs from market making tech companies turn their attention to fixing the most Foundational Industries of our economy.
We believe advances in AI, automation and manufacturing can help close that gap, with the industrial sector's market cap potentially growing from $3.7 trillion today to $55 trillion by 2050.
A few highlights from their conversation:
1:05:27 | Our $50T thesis: The opportunity to create an entirely new generation of technology-first industrial companies.
1:11:24 | Is the lean startup for digital startups dead? Is it cheaper to build in the physical world? How advances in manufacturing are challenging traditional assumptions about the cost of building physical products.
1:12:13 | The rise of physical AI: The potential for AI to transform transportation, manufacturing and other physical industries.
1:14:30 | Capital flowing into defense: Why defense is an early adopter of industrial innovation, but the opportunity extends far beyond the sector.
Watch the conversation (Dayna joins at 1:01:00): tv.nyse.com/arkaea-x-nyse-…
Construct Capital's @daynagrayson on raising a fund for heavy industries in 2020, at a time when everyone was hyper-focused on software investing.View quoted post on X
“The venture world was one that was honed and trained on SaaS."
"Everyone knew what a magic number should look like, what the Rule of 40 is and when it should be attained.”
“We had a fundamental belief that when venture reaches a point where associates take your deck and plug and chug the numbers and then give you an answer, it might not be venture anymore.”
With @itsmoislam at the @NYSE