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Michael Thomas

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@curious_founder

Founder of @CleanviewEnergy and Distilled. I make and post a lot of charts to try to better understand the world around me.

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Colorado distilled.earth Joined March 2012
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Michael Thomas Verified account @curious_founder
Tuesday's election results will have sweeping impacts on America's data center boom.

Our team at Cleanview analyzed the data and found that newly elected governors could pause 41% of America’s planned data centers.

Here are some more takeaways from last night's results:

On Tuesday, voters elected governors and passed local measures that will change the course of the AI infrastructure boom. But much of the early coverage has been misleading or wrong.

Tuesday’s results don’t signal the end of the data center boom. They will, however, likely bring a pause in some of the largest markets and new regulations across the country—even in traditionally laissez-faire states like Texas.

159 GW of planned data centers are in states where the new governor backs a pause. That's 41% of the country's planned data center pipeline.

Another 69.2 GW (18%) is in states where the winner wants to change tax breaks or other rules but hasn’t backed a pause.

This week’s elections will also impact the power projects that data centers depend on, likely bringing more clean energy in some states and fewer on-site gas plants in others.

On-site gas plants will likely face new rules and delays. To build an on-site gas plant, a developer needs an air permit. That approval often goes through offices controlled by the executive branch, which means new Democratic governors could delay or block those permits.

Developers may need to buy more clean energy. A number of candidates campaigned on a promise to make data centers buy more clean energy.

David Crowley in Wisconsin called for 100% renewable energy as a condition for communities that accept a project. Haaland’s plan calls for self-built renewables. Michigan Democrats have proposed a bill requiring 90% clean procurement.

Another takeaway from last night: Local elections went overwhelmingly against data centers.

Data centers were directly on the ballot in 41 local elections across the country. Some ballot initiatives proposed outright bans, while others proposed temporary pauses. All of the races that have been called went against data centers.

Many questions remain about how many newly elected officials will follow through with their pauses, how long they'll last, which projects will be affected, and what new guardrails would look like.

We're planning to continue to cover this over the coming months. If you're interested in reading our analysis subscribe to the Cleanview newsletter or follow along here.
16 replies 80 reposts 346 likes 38K views View on X
Michael Thomas Verified account @curious_founder
Data center developers have announced more than 100 GW of their own power plants. That's equivalent to the power demand of 10 New York Cities.

The growth of this trend forced our team at Cleanview to rethink how we track them.

Our original plan was to publish a quarterly report on this topic. But we soon realized this was too infrequent given the speed at which this trend was evolving.

To illustrate what I mean, consider a few data points:

- The amount of operating behind-the-meter capacity has nearly doubled since we published our last report.

- Capacity under construction has roughly quadrupled.

- Anthropic has gone from an insignificant buyer of behind-the-meter gas power to one of the largest.

So we decided to scrap our original plan and build something much better. Today we’re excited to announce Cleanview's live behind-the-meter gas plant tracker. It covers more than 100 gas plants built to power data centers, and we update it every day.

Over the coming weeks, I plan to share insights from this growing dataset. In the meantime, if you’d like to see the new product or connect with our team, send us a note.
18 replies 34 reposts 132 likes 11K views View on X
Michael Thomas Verified account @curious_founder
Utilities are spending billions to provide power to data centers.

That's why our team at Cleanview spent the last month mapping every data center in America to the utility that will, or already does, provide its electricity.

Given the impact of the data center buildout on America's economy and power grid, you would think this data already existed. And it sort of did.

Publicly traded utilities disclose their data center pipelines in SEC filings, but they often don’t break down those numbers by the stage of development.

Utilities announce deals with hyperscalers, but they don’t share the total amount of power that will be consumed or when it will ramp.

Permits often show connections between data centers and utilities, but they are scattered in thousands of documents.

Over the last month, we went through thousands of these documents to map connections between ~4,000 data centers in Cleanview to utilities and grid operators.

Then we mapped utilities to their parent companies, which are often some of the largest publicly traded companies in America.

All of this data is now available in our platform, CSV exports, and API. If you’d like to learn more about Cleanview's data center tracker and this new feature, send us a note.
17 replies 38 reposts 176 likes 9K views View on X
Michael Thomas Verified account @curious_founder
Ten elections next month will determine the fate of $2 trillion of potential AI infastucture investment.

These races will set the rules for 67.4 GW of planned data centers—more capacity than the entire country has operating today.

A few takeaways from our latest report 🧵