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Here is what I think is great about my creation FL prime 2.0 ranking system. Lake Howell didnβt make the 5A playoffs. I wanted to see it they would make mine. Since mine is transparent you can do a search for a specific team and see why they made or did t make it. Here is the results for Lake Howell in my formula
π FL-PRIME 2.0 | 2026 CLASS 5A PLAYOFFS
π TEAM SPOTLIGHT: LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS
November 6, 2026
Independent playoff projection using FL-PRIME 2.0, NOT the official FHSAA bracket.
My formula evaluates wins, opponent quality, home/away performance and scoring margins capped at 21 points. Version 2 gives strength of schedule additional influence without eliminating the importance of winning.
π PROJECTED CLASS 5A BRACKET
REGION 1
(1) Buchholz vs (8) Oakleaf
(4) Forest vs (5) Nease
(2) Mandarin vs (7) Bartram Trail
(3) Evans vs (6) Pace
REGION 2
(1) Oviedo vs (8) Lake Howell
(4) Lake Gibson vs (5) Bartow
(2) Gaither vs (7) Land Oβ Lakes
(3) Melbourne vs (6) Wiregrass Ranch
REGION 3
(1) Palmetto vs (8) Bloomingdale
(4) Royal Palm Beach vs (5) Sumner
(2) Tampa Bay Tech vs (7) Cape Coral
(3) Armwood vs (6) Manatee
REGION 4
(1) Coconut Creek vs (8) Piper
(4) Miami Southridge vs (5) Monarch
(2) Miami Beach vs (7) Deerfield Beach
(3) Archbishop McCarthy vs (6) Mater Academy
ββββββββββββββ
π FL-PRIME TEAM PLAYOFF REPORT
π« LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS
Class: 5A
Region: 2
Overall record: 6β4
District record: 3β2
District champion: No
FL-PRIME V2 rating: 9.64
β PROJECTED PLAYOFF STATUS: IN
Regional seed: No. 8
Projected opponent: No. 1 Oviedo
π WHY DOES LAKE HOWELL QUALIFY?
Lake Howell and Sebring are competing at my final regional cutoff.
LAKE HOWELL (6β4)
β’ Balanced performance: 6.79
β’ Average opponent rating: 2.09
β’ Additional SOS credit: +1.25
β’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β’ FINAL RATING: 9.64
SEBRING (6β4)
β’ Balanced performance: 4.41
β’ Average opponent rating: 7.60
β’ Additional SOS credit: +3.60 (capped)
β’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β’ FINAL RATING: 9.61
π DIFFERENCE: LAKE HOWELL +0.03
Sebring faced a substantially stronger schedule, but Lake Howellβs better underlying performance narrowly outweighs that advantage under my balanced formula.
Both teams receive identical win-percentage credit for finishing 6β4.
βοΈ HOW THE OPEN DIVISION AFFECTS SELECTION
Lakeland moves into the Open Division, leaving its Class 5A regional position vacant.
In this FL-PRIME scenario, I do not automatically transfer Lakelandβs district championship berth to Sebring.
Instead, I protect the remaining three Region 2 district champions and select the five highest-rated eligible at-large teams.
Those five are:
Melbourne β 14.83
Lake Gibson β 10.96
Bartow β 10.61
Land Oβ Lakes β 10.07
Lake Howell β 9.64
Sebring is next at 9.61.
That puts Lake Howell IN.
If a protected replacement berth is awarded to Sebring instead, Lake Howell would be OUT. The qualification rule therefore matters just as much as the ratings.
β οΈ IMPORTANT: CLOSE-CALL WARNING
Lake Howellβs advantage is only 0.03 rating points.
This is not a secure cutoff. Corrections involving games, opponent records, venue or forfeits could reverse the result.
The previously suspended Lake HowellβViera game is included at its awarded 45β35 score in this working projection.
π‘ THE PURPOSE OF FL-PRIME
I believe every Florida high school football coach should be able to search their school and see:
β Power rating and regional ranking
β Strength of schedule
β Wins, losses and scoring performance
β Projected playoff qualification
β The closest team above or below the cutoff
β The exact mathematical and eligibility reasons for the decision
No guessing. No unexplained rankings.
FL-PRIME 2.0 is my independently developed power rating system.
The model is still undergoing validation and does not represent the official FHSAA playoff
π FL-PRIME 2.0 | 2026 CLASS 5A PLAYOFFS
π TEAM SPOTLIGHT: LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS
November 6, 2026
Independent playoff projection using FL-PRIME 2.0, NOT the official FHSAA bracket.
My formula evaluates wins, opponent quality, home/away performance and scoring margins capped at 21 points. Version 2 gives strength of schedule additional influence without eliminating the importance of winning.
π PROJECTED CLASS 5A BRACKET
REGION 1
(1) Buchholz vs (8) Oakleaf
(4) Forest vs (5) Nease
(2) Mandarin vs (7) Bartram Trail
(3) Evans vs (6) Pace
REGION 2
(1) Oviedo vs (8) Lake Howell
(4) Lake Gibson vs (5) Bartow
(2) Gaither vs (7) Land Oβ Lakes
(3) Melbourne vs (6) Wiregrass Ranch
REGION 3
(1) Palmetto vs (8) Bloomingdale
(4) Royal Palm Beach vs (5) Sumner
(2) Tampa Bay Tech vs (7) Cape Coral
(3) Armwood vs (6) Manatee
REGION 4
(1) Coconut Creek vs (8) Piper
(4) Miami Southridge vs (5) Monarch
(2) Miami Beach vs (7) Deerfield Beach
(3) Archbishop McCarthy vs (6) Mater Academy
ββββββββββββββ
π FL-PRIME TEAM PLAYOFF REPORT
π« LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS
Class: 5A
Region: 2
Overall record: 6β4
District record: 3β2
District champion: No
FL-PRIME V2 rating: 9.64
β PROJECTED PLAYOFF STATUS: IN
Regional seed: No. 8
Projected opponent: No. 1 Oviedo
π WHY DOES LAKE HOWELL QUALIFY?
Lake Howell and Sebring are competing at my final regional cutoff.
LAKE HOWELL (6β4)
β’ Balanced performance: 6.79
β’ Average opponent rating: 2.09
β’ Additional SOS credit: +1.25
β’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β’ FINAL RATING: 9.64
SEBRING (6β4)
β’ Balanced performance: 4.41
β’ Average opponent rating: 7.60
β’ Additional SOS credit: +3.60 (capped)
β’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β’ FINAL RATING: 9.61
π DIFFERENCE: LAKE HOWELL +0.03
Sebring faced a substantially stronger schedule, but Lake Howellβs better underlying performance narrowly outweighs that advantage under my balanced formula.
Both teams receive identical win-percentage credit for finishing 6β4.
βοΈ HOW THE OPEN DIVISION AFFECTS SELECTION
Lakeland moves into the Open Division, leaving its Class 5A regional position vacant.
In this FL-PRIME scenario, I do not automatically transfer Lakelandβs district championship berth to Sebring.
Instead, I protect the remaining three Region 2 district champions and select the five highest-rated eligible at-large teams.
Those five are:
Melbourne β 14.83
Lake Gibson β 10.96
Bartow β 10.61
Land Oβ Lakes β 10.07
Lake Howell β 9.64
Sebring is next at 9.61.
That puts Lake Howell IN.
If a protected replacement berth is awarded to Sebring instead, Lake Howell would be OUT. The qualification rule therefore matters just as much as the ratings.
β οΈ IMPORTANT: CLOSE-CALL WARNING
Lake Howellβs advantage is only 0.03 rating points.
This is not a secure cutoff. Corrections involving games, opponent records, venue or forfeits could reverse the result.
The previously suspended Lake HowellβViera game is included at its awarded 45β35 score in this working projection.
π‘ THE PURPOSE OF FL-PRIME
I believe every Florida high school football coach should be able to search their school and see:
β Power rating and regional ranking
β Strength of schedule
β Wins, losses and scoring performance
β Projected playoff qualification
β The closest team above or below the cutoff
β The exact mathematical and eligibility reasons for the decision
No guessing. No unexplained rankings.
FL-PRIME 2.0 is my independently developed power rating system.
The model is still undergoing validation and does not represent the official FHSAA playoff