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Don Garrant

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@dgarrant

Born and raised in New Bedford MA aka The secret city moved to my adopted city of Bokey FL
Sanford, FL Joined April 2009
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Don Garrant Verified account @dgarrant
Here is what I think is great about my creation FL prime 2.0 ranking system. Lake Howell didn’t make the 5A playoffs. I wanted to see it they would make mine. Since mine is transparent you can do a search for a specific team and see why they made or did t make it. Here is the results for Lake Howell in my formula

🏈 FL-PRIME 2.0 | 2026 CLASS 5A PLAYOFFS

πŸ”Ž TEAM SPOTLIGHT: LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS

November 6, 2026

Independent playoff projection using FL-PRIME 2.0, NOT the official FHSAA bracket.

My formula evaluates wins, opponent quality, home/away performance and scoring margins capped at 21 points. Version 2 gives strength of schedule additional influence without eliminating the importance of winning.

πŸ† PROJECTED CLASS 5A BRACKET

REGION 1
(1) Buchholz vs (8) Oakleaf
(4) Forest vs (5) Nease
(2) Mandarin vs (7) Bartram Trail
(3) Evans vs (6) Pace

REGION 2
(1) Oviedo vs (8) Lake Howell
(4) Lake Gibson vs (5) Bartow
(2) Gaither vs (7) Land O’ Lakes
(3) Melbourne vs (6) Wiregrass Ranch

REGION 3
(1) Palmetto vs (8) Bloomingdale
(4) Royal Palm Beach vs (5) Sumner
(2) Tampa Bay Tech vs (7) Cape Coral
(3) Armwood vs (6) Manatee

REGION 4
(1) Coconut Creek vs (8) Piper
(4) Miami Southridge vs (5) Monarch
(2) Miami Beach vs (7) Deerfield Beach
(3) Archbishop McCarthy vs (6) Mater Academy

━━━━━━━━━━━━━━

πŸ”Ž FL-PRIME TEAM PLAYOFF REPORT

🏫 LAKE HOWELL SILVERHAWKS

Class: 5A
Region: 2
Overall record: 6–4
District record: 3–2
District champion: No
FL-PRIME V2 rating: 9.64

βœ… PROJECTED PLAYOFF STATUS: IN
Regional seed: No. 8
Projected opponent: No. 1 Oviedo

πŸ“Š WHY DOES LAKE HOWELL QUALIFY?

Lake Howell and Sebring are competing at my final regional cutoff.

LAKE HOWELL (6–4)
β€’ Balanced performance: 6.79
β€’ Average opponent rating: 2.09
β€’ Additional SOS credit: +1.25
β€’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β€’ FINAL RATING: 9.64

SEBRING (6–4)
β€’ Balanced performance: 4.41
β€’ Average opponent rating: 7.60
β€’ Additional SOS credit: +3.60 (capped)
β€’ Win-percentage credit: +1.60
β€’ FINAL RATING: 9.61

πŸ“ˆ DIFFERENCE: LAKE HOWELL +0.03

Sebring faced a substantially stronger schedule, but Lake Howell’s better underlying performance narrowly outweighs that advantage under my balanced formula.

Both teams receive identical win-percentage credit for finishing 6–4.

βš–οΈ HOW THE OPEN DIVISION AFFECTS SELECTION

Lakeland moves into the Open Division, leaving its Class 5A regional position vacant.

In this FL-PRIME scenario, I do not automatically transfer Lakeland’s district championship berth to Sebring.

Instead, I protect the remaining three Region 2 district champions and select the five highest-rated eligible at-large teams.

Those five are:

Melbourne β€” 14.83
Lake Gibson β€” 10.96
Bartow β€” 10.61
Land O’ Lakes β€” 10.07
Lake Howell β€” 9.64

Sebring is next at 9.61.

That puts Lake Howell IN.

If a protected replacement berth is awarded to Sebring instead, Lake Howell would be OUT. The qualification rule therefore matters just as much as the ratings.

⚠️ IMPORTANT: CLOSE-CALL WARNING

Lake Howell’s advantage is only 0.03 rating points.

This is not a secure cutoff. Corrections involving games, opponent records, venue or forfeits could reverse the result.

The previously suspended Lake Howell–Viera game is included at its awarded 45–35 score in this working projection.

πŸ’‘ THE PURPOSE OF FL-PRIME

I believe every Florida high school football coach should be able to search their school and see:

βœ… Power rating and regional ranking
βœ… Strength of schedule
βœ… Wins, losses and scoring performance
βœ… Projected playoff qualification
βœ… The closest team above or below the cutoff
βœ… The exact mathematical and eligibility reasons for the decision

No guessing. No unexplained rankings.

FL-PRIME 2.0 is my independently developed power rating system.

The model is still undergoing validation and does not represent the official FHSAA playoff
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Don Garrant Verified account @dgarrant
Any algorithm that is used for rankings should be public mine is πŸ˜€
Florida Coaches Coalition Verified account @PayFLCoaches 18h
πŸ“’ THE CLOCK HAS RUN OUT. FLORIDA WANTS ANSWERS.

The live show originally scheduled for today, where the @FHSAA and @MaxPreps were expected to discuss the ranking system, is no longer taking place.

It now appears to be moving forward as a prerecorded presentation, without an opportunity for coaches to ask questions.

And that's exactly the problem.

For weeks, Florida's coaches have been asking questions about the @MaxPreps ranking system used to determine FHSAA playoff eligibility.

And what have we gotten from @MaxPreps?

❌ Zero transparency.
❌ Zero formula released.
❌ Zero ability to independently verify the results.

Enough is enough.

The Florida Coaches Coalition has formally demanded that MaxPreps release its full ranking algorithm, including the mathematical formula, variables, and weighting used to determine which teams make the playoffs.

Not a watered-down explanation. Not another presentation. Not another excuse about proprietary information.

We want the formula. All of it.

And we're taking this conversation beyond MaxPreps.

Our formal correspondence has been copied to:

@RonDeSantis & @JamesUthmeierFL

Why? Because this is no longer just about football rankings. When a private company's undisclosed algorithm determines postseason opportunities for Florida's public schools, the consequences reach our student-athletes, families, local economies, and entire communities.

This is a matter of statewide public interest, and Florida's highest offices deserve to know how a lack of transparency is impacting the people they serve.

Multiple schools and communities have been shorted opportunities. Opportunities for seniors to play another game. Opportunities for student-athletes to gain exposure. Opportunities for schools to generate potential postseason revenue and for local businesses to benefit from a playoff run.

Those opportunities don't come back.

We understand the 2026 playoff field isn't changing. We appreciate the FHSAA's willingness to engage with our organization and work toward greater transparency moving forward.

But the responsibility to explain the @MaxPreps algorithm belongs to @MaxPreps.

The public deserves answers from MaxPreps. If your algorithm determines which teams make the playoffs, you owe Florida's schools, families, and student-athletes full transparency into how those decisions are made.

If your algorithm is fair, show us.

If your methodology is sound, prove it.

And if @MaxPreps refuses to release the formula, we have full faith that Florida's state leadership will step in and demand the transparency our schools and student-athletes deserve.

Protecting proprietary information should not come at the expense of public accountability.

We said we would follow up. We meant it.

Do you believe the MaxPreps ranking formula should be public?

Like, share, and tell us what you think in the comments. Florida's coaches, schools, families, and student-athletes deserve to have their voices heard.

#FloridaCoachesCoalition
#FHSAA
#MaxPreps
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