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Steve Ilardi
@dr_ilardi
Clinical psychologist, neuroscientist, KU professor, author of “The Depression Cure”, podcaster (mentalhealth.fm), NBA analyst (RPM co-creator)
572 Following 5.1K Followers 22K Posts
Latest posts 5
2024 Lottery Picks: RAPM Impact (2-Yr Model)
1️⃣Risacher -1.6
2️⃣Sarr -2.0
3️⃣Sheppard -1.3
4️⃣Castle +0.3
5️⃣Holland -0.1
6️⃣Salaun -1.2
7️⃣Clingan +0.5
8️⃣Dillingham -2.7
9️⃣Edey +3.1👀
🔟Williams -3.9
11 Buzelis -2.4
12 Topic -1.8
13 Carter -2.1
14 Carrington -5.3
Woof!🙈
1️⃣Risacher -1.6
2️⃣Sarr -2.0
3️⃣Sheppard -1.3
4️⃣Castle +0.3
5️⃣Holland -0.1
6️⃣Salaun -1.2
7️⃣Clingan +0.5
8️⃣Dillingham -2.7
9️⃣Edey +3.1👀
🔟Williams -3.9
11 Buzelis -2.4
12 Topic -1.8
13 Carter -2.1
14 Carrington -5.3
Woof!🙈
2025 Lottery Picks: RAPM Impact (2-Yr Model)
1️⃣Flagg +0.8 📈
2️⃣Harper +4.6 👀
3️⃣VJ +1.5
4️⃣Kon +2.7 💪🏼
5️⃣Ace -3.1
6️⃣Johnson -0.9
7️⃣Fears -2.7
8️⃣Demin 0.0
9️⃣CMB +0.8
🔟Maluach -1.0
11 Coward +2.2 💪🏼
12 Essengue -1.3
13 Queen -2.6
14 Bryant -0.2
(Stats per nbarapm @databallr)
1️⃣Flagg +0.8 📈
2️⃣Harper +4.6 👀
3️⃣VJ +1.5
4️⃣Kon +2.7 💪🏼
5️⃣Ace -3.1
6️⃣Johnson -0.9
7️⃣Fears -2.7
8️⃣Demin 0.0
9️⃣CMB +0.8
🔟Maluach -1.0
11 Coward +2.2 💪🏼
12 Essengue -1.3
13 Queen -2.6
14 Bryant -0.2
(Stats per nbarapm @databallr)
Rookie RAPM of 2026 NBA lottery picks:
1️⃣Dybantsa -0.6
2️⃣Peterson -1.3
3️⃣Boozer -0.2
4️⃣Wilson -2.0
5️⃣Wagler -0.3
6️⃣Brown -1.2
7️⃣Acuff -1.8
8️⃣Flemings -0.3
9️⃣Morez +0.6 👀
🔟Burries -0.8
11 Yaxel -0.2
12 Mara +0.8 👀
13 Ament -1.0
14 Steinbach -2.1
(Per xrapm.com)
1️⃣Dybantsa -0.6
2️⃣Peterson -1.3
3️⃣Boozer -0.2
4️⃣Wilson -2.0
5️⃣Wagler -0.3
6️⃣Brown -1.2
7️⃣Acuff -1.8
8️⃣Flemings -0.3
9️⃣Morez +0.6 👀
🔟Burries -0.8
11 Yaxel -0.2
12 Mara +0.8 👀
13 Ament -1.0
14 Steinbach -2.1
(Per xrapm.com)
Democrats are tracking toward a national popular vote margin of +12 to +14 in this election, the biggest margin for either party since 1974 (post-Watergate) at +16.8
A lot of people missed the dual nature of this piece: (a) there are reasons to be skeptical about a Dem win in excess of 8 points or so but (b) skepticism isn't rejection, and if it happens the GOP caucus will get flattened. As it turns out, the levees were destroyed.View quoted post on X