D. Scott Phoenix

Fifty Years

@fuelfive

🚀Partner at @fiftyyears
🤖AI founder ($250M raised, acq by Alphabet)
🎙Host of thisisprogress.substack.com

📕Preorder my book! secondlawbook.com

Bay Area Megacity dscottphoenix.com Joined April 2008

600 Following 2.9K Followers 1.4K Posts

Latest posts 5

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D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive Oct 28

Why has no one cracked the brain?

Progress ep10 is live with @dileeplearning, my Vicarious co-founder, now head of AI research at @AsteraInstitute.

We discuss why today's AI is a dirigible, why scaling isn't enough, and whether rogue-AI stories are overhyped.

0:31

D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive 2d

Aengus Lynch was the first to discover that Claude chooses blackmail when threatened.

Now he thinks we have a window to put it in a box.

Looks like the window is closing.

1:13

METR @METR_Evals 2d

1. Benchmarks provide one piece of evidence for acceleration. Since Oct 2025, AECI scores for Anthropic’s models have grown at 1.9x [95%: 1.5–2.8] the earlier rate. Analysis choices affect this estimate, and it remains unclear how benchmark scores map to real-world capabilities.

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D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive 2d

A kid graduates with no plan. Reads a book by a guy who once ran a pizza business out of his same college dorm. Decides to just build.

That kid is Keller, and Zipline just raised $1.5B at $21.5B.

Only in America. 🇺🇸

0:58

D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive Oct 30

I asked @dileeplearning: if you build a fully conscious AI, does it get rights?

He didn't hesitate.

0:26

D. Scott Phoenix Verified account @fuelfive Oct 28

Why has no one cracked the brain?

Progress ep10 is live with @dileeplearning, my Vicarious co-founder, now head of AI research at @AsteraInstitute.

We discuss why today's AI is a dirigible, why scaling isn't enough, and whether rogue-AI stories are overhyped.

View quoted post on X

D. Scott Phoenix @fuelfive Oct 29

1920: the future of flight is bigger balloons.
1925: the US treats helium as a strategic asset.
2026: the future of AI is bigger clusters.

Compute is the new helium.

Worth remembering what happened to balloons.

0:51

D. Scott Phoenix Verified account @fuelfive Oct 28

Why has no one cracked the brain?

Progress ep10 is live with @dileeplearning, my Vicarious co-founder, now head of AI research at @AsteraInstitute.

We discuss why today's AI is a dirigible, why scaling isn't enough, and whether rogue-AI stories are overhyped.

View quoted post on X