Henrik Sigstad

Do candidates tilt the polls measuring their own support? Yes. In a new WP with @meirelesff, we find that in Brazil's 2024 mayoral elections at least 1 in 8 polls are paid for by a candidate or party in the race. Those polls overstate their sponsor by ~8 points.

A possibly useful resource for people working on empirical papers in Brazil: github.com/hsigstad/brazi…

A reference on the legal and political institutions — courts, procedure, MP, elections, procurement, corruption statutes — and how they work in practice.

Os tribunais são essenciais para eleições livres, mas candidatos podem usar ações judiciais para difamar oponentes ou desacreditar a eleição. Em novo artigo com @glambais & Moya Chin, apresentamos um estudo sistemático sobre ações eleitorais nas eleições municipais do Brasil.

Courts ensure fair elections, but electoral lawsuits can also be used to attack opponents or discredit the process. For instance, none of the 400+ lawsuits filed before the 2020 U.S. election succeeded in court, and the most recent election saw a similar number of cases.

Come and join us in Oslo! Excellent research community, ample research time, supportive colleagues, and close to nature ⛷️🏞️