Jake Marks

@jakemarks42

GIS & Election Science | @DecisionDeskHQ GovCast | Political Analysis Across the Globe

Florida, USA thedemocracylab.com Joined July 2021

171 Following 1K Followers 159 Posts

Latest posts 5

NH split its ticket: Kelly Ayotte held the governorship by about 3 points, while Democrats are on track to flip both chambers

House: 278D-106R, with 14 seats still being counted (was 221R-177D), past a two-thirds supermajority

Senate: 15D-9R (was 16R-8D)

@DecisionDeskHQ

Jake Marks @jakemarks42 18h

Arizona goes from a GOP legislature to a Democratic trifecta

Gov: Hobbs wins by 13.1
House: 33R-27D → 37D-23R
Senate: 17R-13D → 20D-10R, right at a two-thirds supermajority if leads hold

per @DecisionDeskHQ

Jake Marks @jakemarks42 22h

No Republican is left in a Harris-won seat

Collins, Fitzpatrick and Lawler survived Harris-won areas by running far ahead of their party. In 2026, all three lost

Collins: R+8.6 (2020) → D+7.7
Fitzpatrick: R+12.8 → D+5.4
Lawler: R+6.3 → D+5.0

per @DecisionDeskHQ

Jake Marks @jakemarks42 1d

Florida's new congressional map cost Democrats a seat in 2026

On the old 2022-24 lines, this year's House vote would have elected 9 Democrats. The new map held them to 8, with 5 seats decided by under a point (FL-7, 9, 13, 26, 27)

@DecisionDeskHQ

Jake Marks @jakemarks42 2d

Tennessee's new map cracked Memphis into three GOP seats. On the 2024 lines, 2026's House vote would have elected 2 Democrats

Old map: 7R-2D
New map: 8R-1D, with Dems leading TN-4 by 280 votes and losing TN-9 by 1 pt

per @DecisionDeskHQ