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Haven't logged into Twitter in over a year. Tweeting to keep the account active, just in case.
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Haven't been on Twitter for a good few years
Nice problem. How does it connect to the hot hand?
Alice wins âźş #HH < #HT
âźş #HH + #HH < #HH + #HT
âźş #HH/(#HH + #HT) < 1/2
âźş Proportion(H|H) < 1/2
... 🧵/1 (ht: @benleo_econ in Melbourne)
Nice problem. How does it connect to the hot hand?
Alice wins âźş #HH < #HT
âźş #HH + #HH < #HH + #HT
âźş #HH/(#HH + #HT) < 1/2
âźş Proportion(H|H) < 1/2
... 🧵/1 (ht: @benleo_econ in Melbourne)
The correct answer is “Bob.” Congrats to the 10% who got it right — those few brave dreamers.View quoted post on X
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nice point, and fascinating thread
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crypto solves the dynasty problem