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@ProfWrightGMU Antitrust hipsterism. Everything old is cool again.
Kostya Medvedovsky
Verified account This account is verified. Learn more@kmedved
Creator of DARKO NBA projections. Coined "Hipster Antitrust." Once quoted by @matt_levine.
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Great piece by @zachkram here.
Spoke to Zach, and shared my take that the Jaylen Brown trade is proof that, by hook or by crook, the on/off movement (and the stats movement) has won.
Spoke to Zach, and shared my take that the Jaylen Brown trade is proof that, by hook or by crook, the on/off movement (and the stats movement) has won.
After Jaylen Brown was traded, a ton of discourse focused on his poor on/off numbers. So I dove into the topic for ESPN:View quoted post on X
What is on/off data? How can it be like "astrology for NBA professionals"? And how do smart teams use it to build winning rosters?
espn.com/nba/story/_/id…
This argument would be stronger if @gelliottmorris hadn’t put out an obviously broken model in 2024. One value to PMs is that you don’t need to decipher which models are broken which year, even if they underperform the cutting edge.
You don't need to look at prediction markets at all. They are not oracular prediction machines. They are gambling sites optimized to transfer your hard-earned money to their shareholders. Get your election data straight from the source nytimes.com/2026/10/30/tec…View quoted post on X
Small DARKO.app update: DPM’s play-by-play history starts in 1996–97, but as mentioned, I've done a soft rollout of WOWY-RAPM (full writeup coming soon), which extends history much further back.
For 1996–97, displayed DPM, offensive DPM and defensive DPM start with WOWY RAPM, then gradually transition to DPM, to make transitions less weird looking.
For 1996–97, displayed DPM, offensive DPM and defensive DPM start with WOWY RAPM, then gradually transition to DPM, to make transitions less weird looking.
