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Lanhee J. Chen

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@lanheechen

Public policy leader, critical issues advisor, and educator. Fellow @HooverInst, Partner @BrunswickGroup, @NBCNews Contributor. Former CA statewide candidate
Bay Area, CA goldenstatewatchdogpac.com Joined November 2009
1K Following 24K Followers 2.4K Posts

Latest posts 5

Lanhee J. Chen Verified account @lanheechen
I still think it's remarkable that there were 19 GOP House members from California in 2011 and 11 in 2021. Starting in January, there will be no more than 4.
Rob Pyers Verified account @rpyers Nov 4
With CA23's Jay Obernolte up by 2.7% after his district was redrawn to shift 3% to the right, we have to consider the possibility that California House Republicans might be in worse shape were it not for Gavin Newsom's push to pass Prop 50.
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Lanhee J. Chen Verified account @lanheechen
CA 22 is particularly worth watching as Rep. Valadao has defied gravity since 2012 because of hard work and a good understanding of Central Valley communities. Redistricting has made it tougher this cycle (D+16!), as well as the fact that the district has one of the nation's highest percentages of Medicaid enrollees.
Paul Mitchell Verified account @paulmitche11 Nov 3
Some early vote nuggets in CA:

Overall ballots cast are up 1.4 million, 28% turnout compared to 25% in 2022 at this time. The one read could be that if 23% in 2022 resulted in final of 50%, 28% in 2026 should result in over 60% turnout.

CA 22 (Valadao v. Villegas) has the greatest increase since 2022. Turnout then, on election eve, was only 15%, this cycle it's at 23% - an 8-pt jump, or more than 50% increase.

Latino Turnout is also up about 50%, from 13% in 2022, to 19% this cycle, a 6.5-pt bump.

Latino Age 18-34 vote is nearly DOUBLE turnout from 2022. Up from just above 5% in 2022, to over 10% this cycle.

See it all at tracker.politicaldata.com
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