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@mjtechguy

AI/Tech Nerd. CTO. Builder. Golf Addict. Shut Up and Ship It. 🇺🇸

I'm having fun. Hope you are too.
Murica mjtechguy.com Joined May 2011
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MJ Verified account @mjtechguy
Yes. This is correct.

Don't listen to TLC (🎵Don't Go Chasing Waterfalls🎵).

Since the software development lifecycle has gone from months/years to hours/days, a big upfront plan is again useful and crucial to the success of AI driven software development.
Gergely Orosz Verified account @GergelyOrosz 11h
Hear me out:

We hated "waterfall" because after Big Upfront Planning, implementation took FOREVER, and by the time we were done, the plan was out of date

But with AI, implementation is rapid (100x faster, or more, than before)

So Big Upfront Planning can now make sense?
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MJ Verified account @mjtechguy
Grok 4.8 this week in Bot.

Grok 4.7 was a disappointment. Elon admitted as much. But I am pumped about the new releases they have planned.

Elon posted a detailed update on Grok 4.8 today (Nov 10).

He said they dumped JAX and SGLang and rewrote the entire RL and inference stack from scratch in C/C++ (mostly C, a little C++, some assembly). That took extra time. Pre-training is done, they cleaned up a lot of the SFT data, and 4.8 is now in RL with the evals starting to climb.

Soft rollout to Grok Bot users later this week.

“Grok 4.8 will bear no resemblance to 4.7 (thankfully). It is not yet incredible, but, this time, the foundations are built right, so I expect it to evolve to be something special.” - Elon

The new stack comes from the Starlink engineering work. He noted that at SpaceX they write their own headers and calculate their own time (including leap seconds), and that the Starlink software for moving huge amounts of data through space and to the ground turns out to be well suited to training superintelligence.

The code is tight and was written by humans; AI isn’t good enough yet for that class of high-performance systems software.

When someone asked how 4.8 compares to Opus 5.5, he replied: “Not as good. Opus 5.5 is a masterpiece. But Grok 5 should exceed Opus 5.5 and maybe that happens in 2 or 3 months, with continued acceleration thereafter.”

Earlier (Oct 30) he had said 4.8 “will not be a disappointment” and that they’re not optimizing for benchmark. He cares about it being useful.

Back in September he sketched a rough ladder: 4.7 roughly on par with Opus 5.0, 4.8 a noticeable improvement, 4.9 Astra/Fable class, and Grok 5 maybe better than anything. 4.8 has been described as around 2.5T parameters on the new stack.

The short version is that 4.8 is the clean-slate version with rebuilt foundations, landing in soft form for Bot users this week. It’s not positioned as matching the current frontier yet. The bigger jump is framed for Grok 5 in the next couple of months if the new stack performs as hoped.