MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter

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@mlb_simulator

Modeling expected outcomes to simulate MLB games, inspired by @MoneyPuckdotcom.

Code: github.com/dgrifka/baseba…

Creator: @DerekGrifka

dtwbaseball.com Joined June 2024

5 Following 11K Followers 9.2K Posts

Latest posts 5

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MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb_simulator Jul 9

I've working on a website that can help you seamlessly dig beyond the box score, more quickly understand what type of player someone is, and even learn how a team is structured.

I'll try my best to explain below, but I encourage you to take a peak here: dtwbaseball.com

dtwbaseball.com MLB Deserve-to-Win See who deserved to win every MLB game, re-simulated from the quality of the contact. Most charts show the league average and league best, so you can tell good from normal.

MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb_simulator Oct 29

⚾ Brewers @ Rays
10/28/2026

Final: Brewers 4, Rays 1
Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 42% / Rays 42% (Tie 16%)

#MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp

MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb_simulator Oct 28

Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/28/2026)

TB 8% @ MIL 92% (MIL leads 3-1)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 92%

#MLB #Postseason

MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb_simulator Oct 28

🚨 Rays are luck merchants! 🚨

⚾ Brewers @ Rays
10/27/2026

Final: Brewers 3, Rays 4
Deserve-to-Win: Brewers 87% / Rays 6% (Tie 7%)

#MLB #ThisIsMyCrew #RaysUp

MLB Deserve-To-Win-O-Meter @mlb_simulator Oct 27

Updated Playoff Bracket Probabilities (10/27/2026)

TB 4% @ MIL 96% (MIL leads 3-0)
Title favorite: #ThisIsMyCrew 96%

#MLB #Postseason