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Stephen Deng

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@mrstephendeng

Co-Founder & GP @dfsventures. Frontier tech in frontier markets. Pivoted from bits to atoms. 2x @ucberkeley.
San Francisco longtail.substack.com Joined August 2009
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Stephen Deng Verified account @mrstephendeng
One of my goals this year was to organize my long form writing in a better way and to that end, I'm starting a substack publication I'm calling The Long Tail.

I'll be primarily covering African venture investing and tech trends in the AI era with broader thoughts on frontier markets as applicable.

I hope it drives conversation about our ecosystem, highlights under-appreciated teams, and challenges me to update my priors.

Link to subscribe in the comments.
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Stephen Deng Verified account @mrstephendeng
There's one truth in xborder trade in many African countries like Nigeria: the dollars will flow.

> This floods the local compliance path with cost and disincentive, clearly aiming to mold stables into the shape of the current fiat FX structure. But crypto's malleability is self-determined.

> This places even more value on offshore USD fiat as an intermediary buffer. But then there's this:

Section 11.10.8: Virtual assets cannot ordinarily be used for offshore settlement, prefunding or netting of FX and remittance obligations without approval.

> This attempts to flood that channel with reg risk, but that's been historically hard to enforce. This will result in higher prices, but the value continues to accrue to the same:

1. Those with reliably replenishable fiat dollars
2. Those with pre-aggregated local currency demand

Ironically, punishing the transport of USD stables will likely further empower offshore USD fiat.

> Those bypassing the above by effectively shadow-banking for the regulated banks will probably need to see how this provision plays out politically:

Section 11.10.17: The CBN can recognize foreign stablecoins for wholesale cross-border settlement without requiring the usual local issuer arrangement, but only under restrictive conditions and not for retail distribution.

> More challenger startups enter as costs rise, but many won't survive long enough to learn that absorbing risk is not the same as systematically reducing it.
CoinDesk Verified account @CoinDesk 6d
JUST IN: Nigeria’s Central Bank introduces stablecoin licensing rules, banning algorithmic stablecoins, requiring separate licenses for naira and foreign-currency stablecoins, and giving existing operators 180 days to comply.
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Stephen Deng Verified account @mrstephendeng
Remember, 8 years in Africa because regs allowed it and the use cases were literally life/death.

Born out of volatility. Many such cases in pipeline.
Keller Cliffton Verified account @Keller Nov 5
Today, Zipline raised $1.5b at a $21.5b valuation.

When we started Zipline, flying autonomously in the US was illegal. Which made it really hard to convince investors to give us money! But we were too naive to think that meant we shouldn’t try.

We started the company on a cow farm. We worked out of run-down construction trailers so that we could keep engineering, manufacturing, and flight test all unified and in one place. Hiring people from normal companies like Google was hard because we didn’t have a cafe or laundry service. But enough risk takers and rebels wanted to go on an insane adventure with us. They became the early team.

We decided to launch in smaller countries and focus on life-saving use cases. We hired incredible entrepreneurs and operators in Rwanda, Ghana, Cote D’Ivoire, and other countries. For eight years, Zipline expanded our service across Africa, serving thousands of hospitals and health facilities and reducing maternal mortality by 51%. Today, the network saves over 14k lives every year and is cash flow positive.

Last year, Zipline launched at scale in the US and the service exploded. We grew flight volumes about 100x over the last 18 months, and now make more than a million deliveries a year per metro. We’re now expanding with our partners to millions of deliveries per day. Normal families love having access to anything they need in 10-20 minutes, no matter where they live. Spend more time with loved ones and less time worrying about errands.

Zipline builds drone delivery that is silent and safe. No one wants to hear an extremely loud “swarm of bees” delivering to their backyard or their neighbor’s. Automated delivery needs to be insanely quiet, which guided the overall architecture of our technology delivering from 330 ft in the air. We are 6 times quieter than the closest competitor during delivery. Zipline also now has over 150m commercial autonomous miles (10x the rest of the industry combined) and no safety incidents. Neighborhoods should demand silent and safe delivery!

Today, Zipline is announcing two things. First, we just signed the largest autonomous vehicle contract in human history to expand automated delivery nationally with Walmart, our first and biggest partner in the US. We’re starting by scaling to 300 supercenters throughout the country. Second, we’ve raised $1.5b at a $21.5b valuation from existing and new investors, led by Paradigm, WCM, and Layer.

Zipline was a hard company to believe in for the first ten years of our history. Investors didn’t think the company was “investable”. Most people didn’t even think Zipline was an economic venture. Thanks to those who have rooted for us along the way. To all of the tens of millions of customers and families who rely on Zipline day in and day out: thank you for helping us build the future. Zipline has grown more than @ryanzip, @keenanwyrobek, I, and all others at the company could have imagined.

There is a big opportunity to build a new layer of infrastructure for humanity over the coming years. We want to approximate teleportation. We can build a logistics network that connects and serves all people on earth. We can free human flourishing from the choking constraint of traffic and roads. There are no roads where we’re going. 🚀🌎
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