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Check out #MyYearInBooks @goodreads to discover the 64 books I read in 2024!
goodreads.com/user/year_in_bโฆ
goodreads.com/user/year_in_bโฆ
@pearsekeane
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No plan survives the first five minutes five minutes of contact with reality. How do we deal with what comes next? My new book MINUTE SIX. A survival guide for an increasingly volatile, uncertain & complex world amzn.eu/d/09A238ShView quoted post on X
Planning to watch tonightโs solar eclipse? ๐View quoted post on X
@PearseKeane from @Moorfields Eye Hospital has shared an important warning - never look directly at the Sun with the naked eye.
It can cause serious and potentially permanent damage to your eyesight.
High-stakes decisions with language modelsView quoted post on X
We introduce 'decision-analytic steering' in this study: arxiv.org/pdf/2608.01361
In real-world decisions, different types of errors rarely have equal consequences. So, a system making recommendations under uncertainty must do more than predict what is likely to be true. It must also reflect the relative costs and benefits of acting or failing to act.
As an example, in emergency medical triage, missing a patient who needs immediate care is often far more costly than sending someone to the emergency department who ultimately did not need to go. It's critically important to consider that asymmetry.
We set out to investigate opportunities for decision-analytic steering by generating ROC curves for families of model. These sample curves showing the true positive and false positive rate for two models on a set of emergency medicine triage cases.
This is a very smart take from @a16z's @speedrun : An attempt to extract lessons for company founders from my new book, THE INFINITY MACHINE. Founders need vision, but @DemisHassabis blew up his first startup by having too much vision. With his next startup, DeepMind, Demis learned how to balance vision and realism. speedrun.substack.com/p/the-fluency-โฆView quoted post on X