Peter Tulip

@peter_tulip

Chief Economist at Centre for Independent Studies. Ex-RBA, ex-Fed.

cis.org.au/person/peter-t… Joined May 2019

366 Following 8.6K Followers 15K Posts

Latest posts 5

Pinned post

Peter Tulip @peter_tulip Feb 7, 2024

My new paper restates and brings together some key points in the Australian housing debate. 1/7
cis.org.au/publication/ho…

www.cis.org.au Housing Affordability and Supply Restrictions - CIS Why is housing becoming less affordable? Planning restrictions limit new housing supply, increasing house prices and rents as demand grows.

Peter Tulip @peter_tulip 1d

While the home lending data is discouraging, other data is pointing to a boom in housing construction.
In particular, lots of development applications are being lodged in NSW.
Builders are keen.
Presumably reflecting NSW government planning reforms. 1/2

Peter Tulip @peter_tulip 1d

John Simon says the RBA can't figure out which labour market indicators to target, so they weigh everything, including noise.
Instead, they should target whatever provides the best forecasts of whether inflation will accelerate. That is the NAIRU.
linkedin.com/feed/update/ur…

www.linkedin.com THE RBA'S NAIRU ESTIMATES: AD HOC JUDGEMENT IS STILL A MODEL – A BAD MODEL In the most recent... THE RBA'S NAIRU ESTIMATES: AD HOC JUDGEMENT IS STILL A MODEL – A BAD MODEL In the most recent Statement on Monetary Policy the RBA published its NAIRU estimate clearly for the first time (was that so...

Peter Tulip @peter_tulip 1d

In the recent US midterms, moderates of both parties did substantially and consistently better than extremists.
In Australia, compulsory voting means the returns to moderation, or "centrism", are even stronger. 1/2
theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/11/…

www.theatlantic.com The Left’s Election Denial The Democrats’ most impressive victories in 2026 came from mainstream or moderate candidates.

Peter Tulip @peter_tulip 1d

A repeated mistake by @TheAusInstitute is to deny the difference between a cause and a cure.
They oppose using an umbrella because it's "not going to stop the rain".

Australia Institute @TheAusInstitute 4d

"It doesn't matter how high the RBA puts up interest rates.

"That is going to do nothing to open the Strait of Hormuz."

@MattGrudnoff says the RBA's latest rate hike won't address the main causes of higher inflation. #auspol

🎧 theaus.in/4AflxsX

View quoted post on X