Peter Donaghy

@peterdonaghy

Accountant and data analyst
Also @peterdonaghy.bsky.social
🇺🇦

Belfast salmonofdata.substack.com Joined December 2008

1.9K Following 9.4K Followers 15K Posts

Latest posts 5

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Peter Donaghy @peterdonaghy Nov 2

I built a live NI electricity dashboard on my website. As well as Moyle being at ½ capacity, the troubled gas unit at Coolkeeragh is offline; a planned 2 week outage in September was extended until 13 November due to "generator issues".
salmonofdata.com/dashboards/ni-…

A screenshot of an NI electricity dashboard

Peter Donaghy @peterdonaghy 7h

I made a dashboard on daily gas use on the island of Ireland. Not a pretty picture from an energy resilience perspective; no storage or LNG facilities, and most of the electricity generated dependant on a single source in Scotland.
salmonofdata.com/dashboards/ire…

An island of Ireland gas usage dashboard

Peter Donaghy @peterdonaghy 3d

Opinion polling on an Irish unity referendum in Northern Ireland since 2016. Excluding don't knows, the last pre EU referendum poll was the Ipsos MORI poll in 2013 that was 79%/21% in favour of staying in the union; the recent LucidTalk poll has this as 52%/48%.

Peter Donaghy @peterdonaghy 4d

This poll in context of opinion polling on a border poll in NI since 2001 (excluding don't knows/other answers).

Opinion polling on an Irish unity referendum in Northern Ireland since 2001

Suzanne Breen @SuzyJourno 4d

EXCLUSIVE: The gap between support for Irish unity & NI staying in UK has narrowed to 4 points in the past year. A new @LucidTalk poll shows 46% of voters want to maintain the Union, while 42% would choose a united Ireland if a border poll was held now.
belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-…
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Peter Donaghy @peterdonaghy 5d

Recent LucidTalk and More In Common polls point to ex-Alliance switchers being more likely to support nationalist parties over unionist parties (with SDLP favoured over SF). Also, Alliance won't benefit from nationalist tactical voting in 2027 like in 2024 (e.g. Lagan Valley).

Suzanne Breen @SuzyJourno 5d

Alliance's surge was spectacular, yet the question is no longer how high it can climb, but how low it will fall. It has buried its head in the sand as it loses support first to unionists & then nationalists. A party which once looked energetic appears to be out of ideas.
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