Prediction Pro

Who wins the Senate? 🗳️

40,000 simulations. 6 races that decide it. 10 places we disagree with the market.

Updated daily 👉 predictionpro.com/midterms/model

🚪 Wiles is out. Who's next?

Chance each official leaves the Trump administration before 2027, per prediction markets:

🪖 Hegseth: 30.5%
🕵️ Patel: 24.5% (was 12.5% on Oct. 19)
📊 Lutnick: 18.5%
🏛️ Rubio: 13.5% (was 4.5%)

🇨🇴 Markets see a 1-in-5 chance of a US strike on Colombia

📈 21% by Dec. 31, per prediction markets
⏪ Up from 13% Wednesday

🏈 The Jaguars are a real Super Bowl contender

📈 10.5% to win it all, per prediction markets
🥉 4th-best odds in the league
⏪ Was ~6% Thursday morning

Only the 49ers, Bills and Bears rate higher 👀

🇸🇪 Sweden's prime minister race just became a coin flip

• Andersson: 52.5% (was ~72% on Wednesday) 📉
• Kristersson: 46.5% (was ~27%) 📈
• Two PM votes have already failed in parliament
• Caretaker PM Kristersson reports to the Speaker Nov. 10, with a possible vote Nov. 13 👀