Riccardo Gallotti

People are intuitively cooperative, but not naive!
With @jelenagrr, we arrived at this conclusion using the Drift Diffusion Model to analyse reaction times in iterated Prisoner's Dilemma experiments and discern between fast intuition and slow deliberation
nature.com/articles/s4159…

Kimi Antonelli is about to win the F1 title: 340 points to his teammate's 238. How much of that is his Mercedes? I rated every driver and car since 1950, chess style. About three quarters of his edge is the car. Without cars, the best driver is still Verstappen.
#F1 #USGP

T1 won the last three LoL Worlds as the underdog: 2%, 2% and 9%. At Worlds it has won 27 more games than its rating predicts. At MSI it plays exactly to its rating. This year the ratings give T1 6%. With its October bonus, 46%. #Worlds2026 #T1WIN bigiftruebits.substack.com/p/worlds-t1

Counting tropical nights shows when a summer night stays above 20 °C, not how many cool hours it has left. In hours, the average southern European now gets 2.3 fewer a night than in the 1980s.

First issue of BIG IF TRUE, my Substack of research done by guiding an AI. Link ↓